Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at The Valley (London), Charlton take on Norwich, with John Busby, England in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Charlton win, a draw. Loses: Charlton lose.
Charlton vs Norwich: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Charlton lie 21st, having collected 14 points after 14 matches (3W 5D 6L); Norwich lie 12th, having collected 18 points (6W 0D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Charlton average 0.9 goals for and 1.4 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.9 against for Norwich.
- Form in the competition. Charlton: 3W 5D 3L, goals 10–15; Norwich: 3W 0D 8L, goals 17–21.
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Charlton have taken 1 win to Norwich's 6 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–13.
What to expect
In our view Norwich hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Charlton 1 win, 0 draws, Norwich 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Charlton 10–15, Norwich 17–21.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Charlton 2, Norwich 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.88). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje. Norwich will be without: A. Ahmed, P. A. Diallo, M. Toure, G. Forsyth, M. Topic. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Charlton vs Norwich: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.57 | 3.60 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.37 | 3.43 | 2.11 |
| Lowest odds | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.03 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.83 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.95 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.16 | 3.02 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.11 | 44.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 10:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Charlton 1–1 Norwich, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Charlton 21st (14 points), Norwich 12th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Charlton 3W 5D 3L (10:15), Norwich 3W 0D 8L (17:21).
- H2H: 7 matches: Charlton 1W 0D 6L, goals 5–13.
- Absences: Charlton 2, Norwich 5.
Who will win Charlton vs Norwich?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Charlton vs Norwich: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Charlton vs Norwich: injuries and missing players
Charlton
- R. Apterknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Sichenjeknee injury · will miss the match
Norwich
- A. Ahmedknee injury · will miss the match
- P. A. Dialloinjury · will miss the match
- M. Toureshoulder injury · will miss the match
- G. Forsythabsence · doubtful
- M. Topicabsence · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Charlton
Home and away
Charlton vs Norwich: last matches of both teams
Charlton
Norwich
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CharltonLLLLDNorwichWWWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Charlton vs Norwich?
Charlton +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Charlton vs Norwich?
Our estimate gives Charlton a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Norwich 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 12:30, venue The Valley, London. Referee: John Busby, England.
Who will be missing?
Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje. Norwich: A. Ahmed, P. A. Diallo, M. Toure, G. Forsyth, M. Topic. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.88) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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