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Chance Liga · Matchweek 13 · 1 November 2026 · 14:00

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: prediction, odds and betting tip – 1 November 2026, Chance Liga

0–4
WLWWL
1Baník Ostrava4.20
XDraw4.08
2Plzeň1.81

Top price available · Updated 1/11/26, 13:21

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Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích (Ostrava), Baník Ostrava take on Plzeň, with Jan Všetečka in charge. We make Plzeň (53%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.57
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Plzeň to win
1.81
Chance 53% · confidence medium
Combo
Plzeň with over 2.5 goals
2.80
36% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Plzeň (X2) at a probability of 77%, with odds of up to 1.25.
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Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Baník Ostrava lie 13th, having collected 11 points after 12 matches (3W 2D 7L); Plzeň lie 10th, having collected 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Baník Ostrava average 0.6 goals for and 1.6 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.8 against for Plzeň.
  3. Form in the competition. Baník Ostrava: 3W 2D 6L, goals 7–18; Plzeň: 4W 4D 4L, goals 24–21.
  4. Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, Baník Ostrava have taken 3 wins to Plzeň's 15 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 14–40.

What to expect

In our view Plzeň hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 22; Baník Ostrava 3 wins, 4 draws, Plzeň 15 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Baník Ostrava 7–18, Plzeň 24–21.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
  5. Unavailable: Baník Ostrava 0, Plzeň 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Baník Ostrava: no absences. Plzeň will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available4.204.081.81
Market average4.023.821.76
Lowest odds3.673.401.70
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5859.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.372.3040.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.4438.2%
BTTS – yes1.621.5559.6%
BTTS – no2.372.3040.4%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 13:21. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.1%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Plzeň, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Baník Ostrava 13th (11 points), Plzeň 10th (19 points).
  • Form in the competition: Baník Ostrava 3W 2D 6L (7:18), Plzeň 4W 4D 4L (24:21).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Baník Ostrava 3W 4D 15L, goals 14–40.
  • Absences: Baník Ostrava 0, Plzeň 0.

Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?

Baník Ostrava23%
Draw24%
Plzeň53%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.1% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Plzeň (X2)77.0% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.57
Likely
Both teams to score: yes59.6% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals59.2% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.62
Possible
Plzeň to win52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.81
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.8% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.37
Outsider
Both teams to score: no40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.37
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.57
Outsider
Draw24.3% · fair odds 4.12 · best 4.08
Outsider
Baník Ostrava to win23.0% · fair odds 4.34 · best 4.20
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.04 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.5%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.5%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 18.8%
0 : 28.1%
2 : 16.3%
1 : 36.0%

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: injuries and missing players

Baník Ostrava

  • No reported absences

Plzeň

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Baník Ostrava

1 NovLBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
18 OctDBaník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
10 OctLBohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava
19 SeptDSlovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava
13 SeptLBaník Ostrava 1–2 Pardubice

Plzeň

5 NovWLillestrøm 0–1 Plzeň
1 NovWBaník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
22 OctLPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
18 OctWFK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň

Home and away

Baník Ostrava at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 3–10
Plzeň away6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 16–9

Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň: last matches of both teams

Baník Ostrava

D 18/10/26 · Baník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha
L 10/10/26 · Bohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava
D 19/9/26 · Slovácko 2–2 Baník Ostrava
L 13/9/26 · Baník Ostrava 1–2 Pardubice

Plzeň

W 5/11/26 · Lillestrøm 0–1 Plzeň
L 25/10/26 · Plzeň 1–2 Pardubice
L 22/10/26 · Plzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
W 18/10/26 · FK Jablonec 2–3 Plzeň

Team comparison

Baník OstravaPlzeň
25%Form75%
23%Attack77%
53%Defence47%
40%Head to head60%
36%Goals64%
33.7%Overall66.3%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Baník OstravaLDLDL
PlzeňWLWWL

Head to head

All matches
3Baník Ostrava
4Draws
15Plzeň
1/11/26 · Baník Ostrava 0–4 Plzeň
25/4/26 · Baník Ostrava 0–1 Plzeň
26/10/25 · Plzeň 2–0 Baník Ostrava
11/5/25 · Plzeň 1–2 Baník Ostrava
16/3/25 · Plzeň 0–1 Baník Ostrava
19/10/24 · Baník Ostrava 1–3 Plzeň

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?

Under 3.5 goals (1.57); Plzeň to win (1.81).

Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Plzeň?

Our estimate gives Baník Ostrava a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Plzeň 53%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 14:00, venue Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích, Ostrava. Referee: Jan Všetečka.

Who will be missing?

Baník Ostrava: no absences. Plzeň: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.37).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.62).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 1–2 (9.7%) and 0–1 (8.8%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.