Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham), Aston Villa take on Viking, with Sebastian Gishamer, Austria in charge. We make Aston Villa (75%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Aston Villa vs Viking: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Aston Villa lie 6th, having collected 9 points after 4 matches (3W 0D 1L); Viking lie 22nd, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Aston Villa have taken 1 win to Viking's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 3–1.
What to expect
In our view Aston Villa hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (8.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we give a 60% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 75%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Aston Villa 1 win, 0 draws, Viking 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
- Unavailable: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.74). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Aston Villa: no absences. Viking will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Aston Villa vs Viking: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.31 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| Market average | 1.28 | 6.47 | 9.35 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.04 | 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.75 | 24.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 56.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.35 | 39.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Aston Villa 2–1 Viking, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 6th (9 points), Viking 22nd (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Aston Villa 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1.
- Absences: Aston Villa 0, Viking 0.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Aston Villa vs Viking: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Aston Villa vs Viking: injuries and missing players
Aston Villa
- No reported absences
Viking
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 4-0-0 | 20:5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 3 |  Arsenal | 4 | 3-1-0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Como | 4 | 3-0-1 | 19:6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 4 | 3-0-1 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool | 4 | 3-0-1 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 9 |  Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3-0-1 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 3-0-1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bayern München | 4 | 2-2-0 | 12:5 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2-1-1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Inter | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Lask Linz | 4 | 2-0-2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2-0-2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 20 |  AS Roma | 4 | 1-1-2 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 22 | Viking | 4 | 1-1-2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 23 |  Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 24 |  PSV Eindhoven | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 25 |  Bodø/Glimt | 4 | 1-1-2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  FC Porto | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 28 |  Villarreal | 4 | 1-0-3 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 1-0-3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 31 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 32 |  Feyenoord | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Lens | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 0-1-3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lille | 4 | 0-1-3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0-0-4 | 1:17 | 0 |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
Home and away
Aston Villa vs Viking: last matches of both teams
Aston Villa
Viking
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Aston Villa vs Viking?
Aston Villa -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?
Our estimate gives Aston Villa a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Viking 10%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: Sebastian Gishamer, Austria.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: no absences. Viking: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.28) and under 2.5 goals at 25% (odds 4.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (8.5%), then 3–1 (8.2%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.