Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Fulham, 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham), with S. Barrott officiating. The odds point to Aston Villa (47%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Fulham win, a draw. Loses: Fulham lose.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Aston Villa lie 10th, having collected 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L); Fulham lie 15th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Aston Villa average 1.1 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.0 for and 1.3 against for Fulham.
- Form in the competition. Aston Villa: 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–12; Fulham: 2W 2D 4L, goals 8–10.
- Head to head. In 26 previous meetings, Aston Villa have taken 12 wins to Fulham's 9 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 33–28.
What to expect
In our view Aston Villa hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 26; Aston Villa 12 wins, 5 draws, Fulham 9 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Aston Villa 9–12, Fulham 8–10.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Aston Villa 3, Fulham 1.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Aston Villa: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Fulham will be without: R. Sessegnon. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.16 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.57 | 3.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.92 | 3.30 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.06 | 46.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.93 | 32.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 17:22. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 10th (12 points), Fulham 15th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Aston Villa 3W 2D 3L (9:12), Fulham 2W 2D 4L (8:10).
- H2H: 26 matches: Aston Villa 12W 5D 9L, goals 33–28.
- Absences: Aston Villa 3, Fulham 1.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Aston Villa vs Fulham: injuries and missing players
Aston Villa
- A. Onanaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Ruggerimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Wan-Bissakamuscle injury · will miss the match
Fulham
- R. Sessegnonred card · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
Home and away
Aston Villa vs Fulham: last matches of both teams
Aston Villa
Fulham
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Aston VillaDWWDWFulhamDWWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Fulham +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Our estimate gives Aston Villa a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fulham 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: S. Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Fulham: R. Sessegnon. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.86) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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