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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 25 October 2026 · 15:15

Albacete vs Eldense: prediction, odds and betting tip – 25 October 2026, Segunda División

2–0
LLWWW
1Albacete2.32
XDraw3.55
2Eldense3.24

Top price available · Updated 25/10/26, 13:29

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Albacete welcome Eldense on 25 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete), and the referee is D. Palencia. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Albacete vs Eldense: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Albacete +0 (Asian handicap)
1.80
Chance 57% · confidence medium

Wins: Albacete win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Albacete lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
Chance 66% · confidence high
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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Albacete vs Eldense: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Albacete lie 21st, having collected 7 points after 12 matches (2W 1D 9L); Eldense lie 15th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
  2. Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Albacete have taken 3 wins to Eldense's 3 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–8.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Eldense, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 8; Albacete 3 wins, 2 draws, Eldense 3 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
  4. Unavailable: Albacete 0, Eldense 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Albacete: no absences. Eldense will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Albacete vs Eldense: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.323.553.24
Market average2.243.423.03
Lowest odds2.153.202.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2177.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7354.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.202.0845.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.7833.7%
BTTS – yes1.621.5758.9%
BTTS – no2.342.2641.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 13:29. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Albacete 1–1 Eldense, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Albacete 21st (7 points), Eldense 15th (14 points).
  • H2H: 8 matches: Albacete 3W 2D 3L, goals 8–8.
  • Absences: Albacete 0, Eldense 0.

Who will win Albacete vs Eldense?

Albacete42%
Draw27%
Eldense31%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Albacete vs Eldense: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.1% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.27
Likely
Albacete or draw (1X)69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams to score: yes58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.20
Outsider
Albacete to win41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.32
Outsider
Both teams to score: no41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.34
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.7% · fair odds 2.97 · best 3.00
Outsider
Eldense to win30.9% · fair odds 3.24 · best 3.24
Outsider
Draw27.3% · fair odds 3.66 · best 3.55
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.85 · Under 1.90
probability of over 50.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.63 · Under 2.19
probability of over 57.3%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.7%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 09.0%
1 : 27.6%
0 : 17.5%
2 : 06.9%

Albacete vs Eldense: injuries and missing players

Albacete

  • No reported absences

Eldense

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife123-6-315:1715
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18FC Andorra123-2-717:2211
19Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
20Cádiz122-4-615:1610
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Albacete

31 OctWAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctWAlbacete 2–0 Eldense
17 OctLSporting Gijón 2–1 Albacete
12 OctLValladolid 5–0 Albacete
3 OctLAlbacete 1–3 Eibar

Eldense

1 NovLEldense 0–2 Granada CF
25 OctLAlbacete 2–0 Eldense
18 OctWValladolid 2–3 Eldense
10 OctWEldense 2–1 Córdoba
2 OctWEldense 4–1 Oviedo

Home and away

Albacete at home6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 7–9
Eldense away6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 4–9

Albacete vs Eldense: last matches of both teams

Albacete

W 31/10/26 · Albacete 2–1 Sabadell
L 17/10/26 · Sporting Gijón 2–1 Albacete
L 12/10/26 · Valladolid 5–0 Albacete
L 3/10/26 · Albacete 1–3 Eibar

Eldense

L 1/11/26 · Eldense 0–2 Granada CF
W 18/10/26 · Valladolid 2–3 Eldense
W 10/10/26 · Eldense 2–1 Córdoba
W 2/10/26 · Eldense 4–1 Oviedo

Head to head

All matches
3Albacete
2Draws
3Eldense
25/10/26 · Albacete 2–0 Eldense
7/8/26 · Albacete 1–0 Eldense
23/2/25 · Albacete 0–1 Eldense
16/11/24 · Eldense 2–0 Albacete
21/4/24 · Eldense 0–1 Albacete
19/12/23 · Albacete 1–1 Eldense

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Albacete vs Eldense?

Albacete +0 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).

Who will win Albacete vs Eldense?

Our estimate gives Albacete a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Eldense 31%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 15:15, venue Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete. Referee: D. Palencia.

Who will be missing?

Albacete: no absences. Eldense: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.20).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 NovGirona vs Almería 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.