Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart welcome Borussia Mönchengladbach on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at MHPArena (Stuttgart), and the referee is M. Jöllenbeck. VfB Stuttgart (72%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. VfB Stuttgart lie 12th, having collected 9 points after 8 matches (3W 0D 5L); Borussia Mönchengladbach lie 18th, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, VfB Stuttgart average 1.3 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.3 for and 3.3 against for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 4L, goals 8–10; Borussia Mönchengladbach: 0W 0D 6L, goals 8–20.
- Head to head. In 31 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have taken 13 wins to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 13 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 47–47.
What to expect
In our view VfB Stuttgart hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (8.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 75%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 31; VfB Stuttgart 13 wins, 5 draws, Borussia Mönchengladbach 13 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: VfB Stuttgart 8–10, Borussia Mönchengladbach 8–20.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
- Unavailable: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 56%, top price 1.74). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Borussia Mönchengladbach will be without: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.36 | 6.40 | 8.75 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.97 | 7.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.77 | 25.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 18:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: VfB Stuttgart 12th (9 points), Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th (4 points).
- Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 4L (8:10), Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 6L (8:20).
- H2H: 31 matches: VfB Stuttgart 13W 5D 13L, goals 47–47.
- Absences: VfB Stuttgart 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach 9.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: injuries and missing players
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Narteythigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- J. Castropshoulder injury · will miss the match
- F. Fleckmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Honoratmuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Itakuraankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Kleindienstmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Kuhnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- E. Leopoldknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Leszczynskiknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Lidbergthigh injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
VfB Stuttgart
Home and away
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: last matches of both teams
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
VfB StuttgartWLLWLBorussia MönchengladbachLDWLLHead to head
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our estimate gives VfB Stuttgart a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 12%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:30, venue MHPArena, Stuttgart. Referee: M. Jöllenbeck.
Who will be missing?
VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, N. Nartey, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Borussia Mönchengladbach: J. Castrop, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, K. Itakura, T. Kleindienst, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, I. Lidberg. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.29) and under 2.5 goals at 25% (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (8.7%), then 3–1 (8.1%) and 2–0 (7.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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