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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

Versailles vs Aubagne: prediction, odds and betting tip – 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

4–0
LLLWL
1Versailles1.56
XDraw4.16
2Aubagne5.95

Top price available · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

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Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Jean Bouin (Saint-Germain-en-Laye), Versailles take on Aubagne. We make Versailles (60%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Versailles vs Aubagne: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Aubagne +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.68
Chance 58% · confidence medium

Wins: Aubagne win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Aubagne lose by 1. Loses: Aubagne lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score: no
1.83
Chance 52% · confidence medium
Combo
Versailles with over 2.5 goals
2.70
37% · combo fair odds
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Versailles or draw (1X) at a probability of 83%, with odds of up to 1.13.
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Versailles vs Aubagne: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Versailles lie 3rd, having collected 22 points after 11 matches (7W 1D 3L); Aubagne lie 17th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Versailles average 1.5 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 0.6 for and 1.3 against for Aubagne.
  3. Form in the competition. Versailles: 6W 1D 3L, goals 15–13; Aubagne: 2W 1D 7L, goals 6–13.
  4. Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Versailles have taken 3 wins to Aubagne's 0 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–4.

What to expect

In our view Versailles hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Both teams to score: no (odds 1.83), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 48%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 5; Versailles 3 wins, 2 draws, Aubagne 0 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.4 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Versailles 15–13, Aubagne 6–13.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
  5. Unavailable: Versailles 0, Aubagne 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.88). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Versailles: no absences. Aubagne will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Versailles vs Aubagne: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.564.165.95
Market average1.513.885.51
Lowest odds1.473.605.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2673.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.881.8450.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.8949.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.203.0730.1%
BTTS – yes2.101.9148.2%
BTTS – no1.831.7851.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.3%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Versailles 1–0 Aubagne, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Versailles 3rd (22 points), Aubagne 17th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Versailles 6W 1D 3L (15:13), Aubagne 2W 1D 7L (6:13).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Versailles 3W 2D 0L, goals 13–4.
  • Absences: Versailles 0, Aubagne 0.

Who will win Versailles vs Aubagne?

Versailles60%
Draw23%
Aubagne17%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Versailles vs Aubagne: more betting tips

Versailles or draw (1X)83.5% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.9% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Versailles to win60.1% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.56
Likely
Both teams to score: no51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.88
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.95
Outsider
Both teams to score: yes48.2% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw23.4% · fair odds 4.27 · best 4.16
Outsider
Aubagne to win16.5% · fair odds 6.05 · best 5.95
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.74
probability of over 46.8%

Correct score tips

1 : 012.4%
2 : 011.5%
1 : 110.6%
2 : 19.8%
3 : 07.1%
0 : 06.7%

Versailles vs Aubagne: injuries and missing players

Versailles

  • No reported absences

Aubagne

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans122-5-512:1711
15Valenciennes122-4-613:1910
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Versailles

31 OctWVersailles 4–0 Aubagne
17 OctWThionville Lusitanos 1–2 Versailles
3 OctWVersailles 1–0 Valenciennes
26 SeptWVillefranche 1–2 Versailles
19 SeptDVersailles 0–0 Quevilly

Aubagne

31 OctLVersailles 4–0 Aubagne
17 OctLAubagne 0–1 Le Puy Foot
3 OctLLa Roche VF 3–1 Aubagne
26 SeptWFleury 91 1–2 Aubagne
19 SeptLRouen 1–0 Aubagne

Home and away

Versailles at home5 matches: 3W 1D 1L, goals 6–3
Aubagne away6 matches: 1W 1D 4L, goals 3–10

Versailles vs Aubagne: last matches of both teams

Versailles

W 17/10/26 · Thionville Lusitanos 1–2 Versailles
W 3/10/26 · Versailles 1–0 Valenciennes
W 26/9/26 · Villefranche 1–2 Versailles
D 19/9/26 · Versailles 0–0 Quevilly

Aubagne

L 17/10/26 · Aubagne 0–1 Le Puy Foot
L 3/10/26 · La Roche VF 3–1 Aubagne
W 26/9/26 · Fleury 91 1–2 Aubagne
L 19/9/26 · Rouen 1–0 Aubagne

Team comparison

VersaillesAubagne
81%Form19%
69%Attack31%
80%Defence20%
80%Head to head20%
69%Goals31%
71.8%Overall28.2%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

VersaillesWWWWD
AubagneLLLWL

Head to head

All matches
3Versailles
2Draws
0Aubagne
31/10/26 · Versailles 4–0 Aubagne
27/2/26 · Versailles 3–0 Aubagne
19/9/25 · Aubagne 1–1 Versailles
8/2/25 · Versailles 2–0 Aubagne
6/9/24 · Aubagne 3–3 Versailles

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Versailles vs Aubagne?

Aubagne +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Both teams to score: no (1.83).

Who will win Versailles vs Aubagne?

Our estimate gives Versailles a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aubagne 17%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 13:45, venue Stade Jean Bouin, Saint-Germain-en-Laye.

Who will be missing?

Versailles: no absences. Aubagne: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.88) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.95).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 48% (odds 2.10).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–0 (12.4%), then 2–0 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Caen vs Versailles 7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot 7 NovConcarneau vs Fleury 91 7 NovVillefranche vs Quevilly 7 NovRouen vs Bastia 7 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.