Concarneau vs Fleury 91: prediction, odds and betting tip – 7 November 2026, Ligue 3

Concarneau vs Fleury 91 preview and prediction

Concarneau take on Fleury 91 at the Stade Guy Piriou on 7 November 2026 in Ligue 3 Matchweek 12, with kick-off at 13:45. What stands out is the expected goals: roughly one for each side, around two combined. The scorelines that come up most often are 1-1 at 12.6%, 1-0 at 10.9% and 0-1 at 9.0%. The bookmakers price Concarneau at 42%, the draw at 28% and Fleury 91 at 29%, so the market sees a favourite without expecting a rout.

Attack against defence in this competition

Across Ligue 3 matches only, Fleury 91 have found the net 17 times and let in 13, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded each game. Concarneau's tally is 14 scored and 11 conceded, which equals 1.3 and 1.0 per outing. On those numbers the away side owns the sharper attack, while the home side keeps the tighter defence. In the standings Fleury 91 are ninth with 16 points, whereas Concarneau occupy seventh with 17, a gap of just one point.

Concarneau, playing in front of their own fans at the Stade Guy Piriou, are the side we would examine first. Across this competition they have collected three wins, two draws and a single defeat there, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Fleury 91 have taken two victories, one draw and one loss away from home, with 5 goals scored and 4 conceded. The sample is modest, so we would not put too much weight on it, but it nudges the balance slightly toward the hosts.

Form across all competitions, not just Ligue 3

Because these numbers cover all competitions, they may not match the league standings table. Over Concarneau's last five outings they picked up two wins, two draws and a single loss, scoring 7 and letting in 5. That lone defeat came by 2-1 at Rouen on 31 October, the side's latest match ahead of this one. Fleury 91 also collected two victories, two draws and one loss across the same stretch, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. They most recently played out a 1-1 stalemate with Gobelins on home soil, and within that run they also fell 1-2 at home to Aubagne.

Looking at either side's recent results in isolation doesn't offer much insight. Both teams have been settling for draws and narrow victories, and the odds line up with that pattern. Neither club looks convincingly in hot form, so a stalemate remains a real possibility.

Four meetings with a clear pattern

In head-to-head terms, Concarneau come out ahead. Across their last four meetings they picked up two wins, one draw and one defeat, and found the net seven times against Fleury 91's three. Concarneau's 4-0 victory on the road at Fleury 91 on 27 February 2026 is the standout scoreline. The return fixture on 19 September 2025 ended 1-0 to Fleury 91, which was the only time the visitors won in that stretch.

Four matches is a small sample, so we wouldn't rest a verdict on it by itself. Even so, the 4-0 suggests Concarneau can unlock this opponent whenever the game breaks their way, which is the reason we continue to monitor their position on the handicap line.

No team news to change the picture

Neither side has any reported injuries or suspensions. Based on the available information, both teams should field their strongest lineups, so team selection does not change our assessment. Our read rests on the goal trends, the home form and the odds.

Our top pick and our runner-up selection

We favour both teams to score at 1.91, which implies a 52% probability. Scoring form drives this pick: each side found the net in four of its last five outings, and across that same run neither was kept off the scoresheet. Concarneau and Fleury 91 have actually scored in every one of their last five, and those trends are what we are relying on. a measured stake makes sense.

The risk is real. A 0-0, a 1-0 or a 2-0 would lose it, because each leaves one side blank. A 1-1 or a 2-1 wins it, and 1-1 ranks as the single most probable exact result on the table.

Concarneau or a draw (1X) is our second selection, priced at 1.80 with a 53% chance. The hosts have dropped just one of their last five outings, and in this competition at home they have collected three wins, two draws and a single defeat. They are placed above Fleury 91 in the standings, and in the last four head-to-head clashes they have claimed two results while the visitors have managed one. With the price this short, we see it as a foundation stake rather than the headline pick of the day.

Other picks worth considering at these odds

• Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33 (chance 53%). The market prices in a minimum of two goals as a likely outcome, and this selection fits neatly with our primary pick.
• Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.31 (chance 53%). A high-scoring spectacle doesn't look likely here, and we think the bookmakers have priced this one fairly.
• Concarneau +0.25 at odds 1.45 (chance 65%). The stake is split evenly between Concarneau +0 and Concarneau +0.5. A straight Concarneau victory pays the full stake, a draw collects the +0.5 portion and refunds the +0 portion, and a one-goal defeat costs the entire stake.
• Fleury 91 +1.5 at odds 1.23 (chance 77%). The ticket holds as long as Fleury 91 avoid a defeat by two or more goals, meaning a draw, a Fleury victory or a single-goal loss all leave it standing. For anyone seeking the safest selection on today's card, this is the one we would back.

Our call on the final score

The 1-1 is the scoreline we keep coming back to. At 12.6% it carries the highest probability of any exact result, and it lands both our primary and secondary selections. A narrow Concarneau victory by one goal would not catch us off guard, nor would a Fleury 91 outcome. Our top-ranked score is 1-1.