Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen), Rouen take on Concarneau. We make Rouen (46%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Rouen vs Concarneau: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rouen lie 2nd, having collected 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L); Concarneau lie 7th, having collected 17 points (4W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Rouen average 1.8 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 1.3 for and 0.9 against for Concarneau.
- Form in the competition. Rouen: 6W 2D 2L, goals 18–8; Concarneau: 4W 5D 1L, goals 13–9.
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Rouen have taken 2 wins to Concarneau's 0 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 7–5.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Rouen 2 wins, 3 draws, Concarneau 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Rouen 18–8, Concarneau 13–9.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
- Unavailable: Rouen 0, Concarneau 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rouen: no absences. Concarneau will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rouen vs Concarneau: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.88 |
| Market average | 1.96 | 3.24 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.89 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.34 | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.07 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 55.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.62 | 25.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.88 | 48.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.83 | 1.80 | 51.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 9.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rouen 1–1 Concarneau, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rouen 2nd (23 points), Concarneau 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Rouen 6W 2D 2L (18:8), Concarneau 4W 5D 1L (13:9).
- H2H: 5 matches: Rouen 2W 3D 0L, goals 7–5.
- Absences: Rouen 0, Concarneau 0.
Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rouen vs Concarneau: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Rouen vs Concarneau: injuries and missing players
Rouen
- No reported absences
Concarneau
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 | Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 12 | 2-5-5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rouen
Home and away
Rouen vs Concarneau: last matches of both teams
Rouen
Concarneau
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
RouenWLWLWConcarneauLDWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rouen vs Concarneau?
Draw or Concarneau (X2) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.74).
Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?
Our estimate gives Rouen a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Concarneau 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 13:45, venue Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen.
Who will be missing?
Rouen: no absences. Concarneau: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.12) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.74).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 2.00).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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