Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Merkur Spielarena (Düsseldorf), Union Saint-Gilloise take on Hapoel Beer Sheva, with Mikola Balakin in charge. We make Union Saint-Gilloise (66%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Hapoel Beer Sheva win, a draw, Hapoel Beer Sheva lose by 1. Loses: Hapoel Beer Sheva lose by 2 or more.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Union Saint-Gilloise lie 4th, having collected 10 points after 4 matches (3W 1D 0L); Hapoel Beer Sheva lie 33rd, having collected 1 point (0W 1D 3L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Union Saint-Gilloise have taken 1 win to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 4–0.
What to expect
In our view Union Saint-Gilloise hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Union Saint-Gilloise 1 win, 0 draws, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Union Saint-Gilloise 0, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.63). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Union Saint-Gilloise: no absences. Hapoel Beer Sheva will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.48 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.78 | 6.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.28 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.52 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.46 | 38.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.69 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.09 | 44.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 16:29. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Union Saint-Gilloise 4th (10 points), Hapoel Beer Sheva 33rd (1 point).
- H2H: 1 match: Union Saint-Gilloise 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0.
- Absences: Union Saint-Gilloise 0, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: injuries and missing players
Union Saint-Gilloise
- No reported absences
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
Home and away
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: last matches of both teams
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our estimate gives Union Saint-Gilloise a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 14%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Merkur Spielarena, Düsseldorf. Referee: Mikola Balakin.
Who will be missing?
Union Saint-Gilloise: no absences. Hapoel Beer Sheva: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.