Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Swansea welcome Blackburn on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea), and the referee is Gavin Ward. Swansea (54%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Swansea vs Blackburn: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Swansea lie 5th, having collected 26 points after 14 matches (8W 2D 4L); Blackburn lie 14th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Swansea average 1.3 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.3 against for Blackburn.
- Form in the competition. Swansea: 7W 2D 3L, goals 16–13; Blackburn: 5W 3D 4L, goals 19–16.
- Head to head. In 20 previous meetings, Swansea have taken 10 wins to Blackburn's 6 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 34–24.
What to expect
In our view Swansea hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.78), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 20; Swansea 10 wins, 4 draws, Blackburn 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Swansea 16–13, Blackburn 19–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Swansea 3, Blackburn 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Blackburn will be without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, R. Morishita. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Swansea vs Blackburn: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.81 | 3.90 | 4.85 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.71 | 4.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.16 | 3.74 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.25 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.95 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.29 | 3.04 | 30.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Swansea 1–1 Blackburn, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 5th (26 points), Blackburn 14th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Swansea 7W 2D 3L (16:13), Blackburn 5W 3D 4L (19:16).
- H2H: 20 matches: Swansea 10W 4D 6L, goals 34–24.
- Absences: Swansea 3, Blackburn 5.
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Swansea vs Blackburn: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Swansea vs Blackburn: injuries and missing players
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. K. Yeoinjury · will miss the match
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- S. Morsyabsence · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Swansea
Home and away
Swansea vs Blackburn: last matches of both teams
Swansea
Blackburn
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
SwanseaLWLLWBlackburnLLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Swansea vs Blackburn?
Over 2.5 goals (1.91); Swansea to win (1.81).
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
Our estimate gives Swansea a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Blackburn 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Gavin Ward.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: C. Burgess, Ronald, M. K. Yeo. Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy, R. Morishita. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.91) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.78).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 1–0 (11.4%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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