Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 23 October 2026 · 17:30 at Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt), SV Darmstadt 98 take on FC St. Pauli, with T. Gansloweit in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. SV Darmstadt 98 lie 17th, having collected 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L); FC St. Pauli lie 8th, having collected 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 68% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: SV Darmstadt 98 0, FC St. Pauli 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for SV Darmstadt 98: no absences. FC St. Pauli will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.06 | 3.58 | 2.34 |
| Market average | 2.96 | 3.42 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.22 | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.77 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.02 | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.89 | 32.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 14:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 FC St. Pauli, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SV Darmstadt 98 17th (9 points), FC St. Pauli 8th (12 points).
- Absences: SV Darmstadt 98 0, FC St. Pauli 0.
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: injuries and missing players
SV Darmstadt 98
- No reported absences
FC St. Pauli
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 11 | 3-3-5 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 10 |  Energie Cottbus | 11 | 2-5-4 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 12 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 13 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
Recent matches
SV Darmstadt 98
Home and away
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: last matches of both teams
SV Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw (1X) (1.70); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
Our estimate gives SV Darmstadt 98 a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FC St. Pauli 41%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 17:30, venue Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt. Referee: T. Gansloweit.
Who will be missing?
SV Darmstadt 98: no absences. FC St. Pauli: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.82) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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