Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent), Stoke City take on Preston, with Adam Herczeg in charge. We make Stoke City (53%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Stoke City win. Loses: a draw, Stoke City lose.
Stoke City vs Preston: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Stoke City lie 4th, having collected 26 points after 14 matches (8W 2D 4L); Preston lie 24th, having collected 5 points (1W 2D 11L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Stoke City average 1.5 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 0.8 for and 2.1 against for Preston.
- Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 2D 4L, goals 18–16; Preston: 1W 2D 9L, goals 10–25.
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Stoke City have taken 4 wins to Preston's 7 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 14–20.
What to expect
In our view Stoke City hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; Stoke City 4 wins, 6 draws, Preston 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Stoke City 18–16, Preston 10–25.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Stoke City 5, Preston 6.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Preston will be without: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann, T. Carroll, L. Lindsay. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Stoke City vs Preston: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Market average | 1.77 | 3.71 | 4.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.68 | 3.26 | 4.07 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.93 | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.28 | 3.10 | 30.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 09:42. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Preston, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Stoke City 4th (26 points), Preston 24th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 2D 4L (18:16), Preston 1W 2D 9L (10:25).
- H2H: 17 matches: Stoke City 4W 6D 7L, goals 14–20.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Preston 6.
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Stoke City vs Preston: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Stoke City vs Preston: injuries and missing players
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
- S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match
Preston
- H. Clarkeknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Gibbsmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Gibsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. McCannhamstring injury · will miss the match
- T. Carrollankle injury · doubtful
- L. Lindsayinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Stoke City
Home and away
Stoke City vs Preston: last matches of both teams
Stoke City
Preston
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Stoke CityWWDWLPrestonLLDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Stoke City vs Preston?
Stoke City -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston?
Our estimate gives Stoke City a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Preston 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 12:30, venue bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: Adam Herczeg.
Who will be missing?
Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Preston: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann, T. Carroll, L. Lindsay. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.91) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 1–0 (11.4%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.