Czech Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava, 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at epet ARENA (Prague), with J. Wulkan officiating. The odds point to Sparta Praha (77%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Sparta Praha average 5.0 goals for and 0.0 against, compared with 5.5 for and 0.5 against for Baník Ostrava.
- Form in the competition. Sparta Praha: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Baník Ostrava: 2W 0D 0L, goals 11–1.
What to expect
In our view Sparta Praha hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.23), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 48%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Sparta Praha 5–0, Baník Ostrava 11–1.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: Sparta Praha 0, Baník Ostrava 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.74). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sparta Praha: no absences. Baník Ostrava will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.23 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Market average | 1.18 | 6.28 | 11.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.15 | 5.32 | 8.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.11 | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.41 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.70 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.76 | 52.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 16:46. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 9.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sparta Praha 2–0 Baník Ostrava, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Sparta Praha 1W 0D 0L (5:0), Baník Ostrava 2W 0D 0L (11:1).
- Absences: Sparta Praha 0, Baník Ostrava 0.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: injuries and missing players
Sparta Praha
- No reported absences
Baník Ostrava
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava: last matches of both teams
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Sparta PrahaWBaník OstravaWWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Baník Ostrava +2 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Our estimate gives Sparta Praha a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Baník Ostrava 8%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 17:30, venue epet ARENA, Prague. Referee: J. Wulkan.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Praha: no absences. Baník Ostrava: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 48% (odds 2.00).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (11.9%), then 3–0 (10.3%) and 1–0 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.