Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Shrewsbury vs Oldham (League Two, 14 November 2026, 15:00): Draw or Oldham (X2) at odds of 1.50. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.80. The bookmakers' odds give Shrewsbury 35%, the draw 28% and Oldham 37%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham preview and prediction
Can Oldham's poor away record hold up against a Shrewsbury side that has scored and conceded almost the same number of goals at home? That is the question we keep returning to before Shrewsbury meet Oldham at The Croud Meadow on 14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00.
The key facts
- Likely result: Shrewsbury 1–1 Oldham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Shrewsbury 15th (18 points), Oldham 18th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Shrewsbury 5W 3D 6L (17:22), Oldham 4W 3D 7L (15:19).
- H2H: 16 matches: Shrewsbury 9W 2D 5L, goals 20–17.
- Absences: Shrewsbury 0, Oldham 0.
The table puts Shrewsbury ahead, the prices do not
Shrewsbury sit 15th in League Two with 18 points from 14 matches, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats. They have scored 17 and conceded 22. Oldham are 21st with 12 points from 13, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost 7, with 14 goals for and 19 against. These are the figures of this competition only, so they say nothing about either club's cup or other fixtures.
The bookmakers read it the other way round. They make Oldham a 37 per cent chance to win at best odds of 2.50, against 35 per cent for Shrewsbury at 2.70, with the draw at 28 per cent. The margin on the match result is 8.5 per cent, so none of those prices is generous. We take the market's side on the favourite here, because a table built on 14 games is a weaker guide than the money that has gone into the match.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.70 | 3.45 | 2.50 |
| Market average | 2.65 | 3.28 | 2.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.97 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.79 | 52.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.35 | 27.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.98 | 1.94 | 47.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 16:27. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.5%.
Shrewsbury's home ground is not carrying them
At home in this competition, Shrewsbury have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. That is a balanced home record, not a fortress. Across the whole league they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Their last five matches in all competitions brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. The run began with a 0-1 home defeat to Exeter City and a 1-0 home win over Bristol Rovers, then a 2-3 win at Crawley Town and a 3-3 draw at Rotherham. It ended with a 1-2 home defeat to Gillingham. Those results were against a mix of opponents, and we would not read too much into the 3-3 draw, but the pattern is one of goals at both ends.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Oldham's away form is the number to watch
Oldham have not won away from home in this competition. Their road record is no wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with 3 goals scored and 11 conceded. That is the clearest figure in the preview, and it is the reason we have no appetite for backing Oldham to win outright.
In all competitions their last five gave one win, two draws and two defeats, with 5 scored and 6 conceded. They began with a goalless home draw against Accrington Stanley and a 4-1 home win over Cheltenham. Then came a 3-0 defeat at Walsall, a 1-1 draw at Barnet and a 0-1 home defeat to Crawley Town. Their home results have been better than their away ones, which is exactly what the table would lead you to expect.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Shrewsbury
Home and away
No earlier meeting and no team news
We have no earlier meeting between these clubs on record, so the head-to-head tells us nothing. Neither side has a reported absence. That leaves the form and the prices to decide the match, and we are comfortable working from those alone.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ShrewsburyLDWWLOldhamWLDLWOur Shrewsbury vs Oldham betting tip: Draw or Oldham
Our main tip is Draw or Oldham (X2) at odds 1.50 (chance 65%). The market gives it 65 per cent at best odds of 1.50, and we are not going to argue with a price that strong. It wins on 1-1, 0-1, 0-0 and 1-2, and loses on 1-0 and 2-1. Of the three likeliest exact scores, 1-1, 0-1 and 1-0, the tip wins two.
The risk is a one-goal home win, and the bookmakers' third most likely score of 1-0 to Shrewsbury is exactly that.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Our second tip: Both teams to score
Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.80 (chance 52%). Both teams scored in 3 of Shrewsbury's last 5 matches in all competitions, and Shrewsbury failed to score in only 1 of them. The market gives it 52 per cent at 1.80. The rounded expected goals are 1 for each side, so this is a modest pick rather than a confident one. It wins on 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1, and loses on 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham: last matches of both teams
Shrewsbury
Oldham
Head to head
All matchesTwo bets to add alongside the tips
If you want to add something that does not fight the main tip, these are the two we would consider:
- Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30 (chance 73%). It is the highest chance on the total lines, and the bookmakers' most likely scores sit well beneath that mark.
- Oldham +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.50 (chance 63%). It wins unless Oldham lose by one goal or more, so it fits with the draw-or-Oldham idea.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham: injuries and missing players
Shrewsbury
- No reported absences
Oldham
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Where we land on this one
Shrewsbury have the better table position, but they have not been convincing at home, and Oldham's away record gives us little reason to back them to win on the road. The bookmakers still see Oldham as slight favourites, and we follow them to the extent of backing the visitors not to lose. We would not back Shrewsbury at 2.70 on the result. With an 8.5 per cent margin and a single goal able to settle it, stake modestly.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
Draw or Oldham (X2) (1.50); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Oldham?
Our estimate gives Shrewsbury a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Oldham 37%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 14 November 2026 at 15:00, venue The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury.
Who will be missing?
Shrewsbury: no absences. Oldham: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.00) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–0 (9.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.