Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Riga vs FK Jablonec, 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Skonto (Rīga), with Viktor Kopievskiy, Ukraine officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Riga vs FK Jablonec: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Riga lie 19th, having collected 3 points after 3 matches (0W 3D 0L); FK Jablonec lie 23rd, having collected 2 points (0W 2D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Riga average 1.8 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.0 against for FK Jablonec.
- Form in the competition. Riga: 4W 4D 0L, goals 14–8; FK Jablonec: 4W 1D 3L, goals 12–8.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Riga 14–8, FK Jablonec 12–8.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Riga 0, FK Jablonec 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Riga: no absences. FK Jablonec will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Riga vs FK Jablonec: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.49 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.38 | 3.41 | 2.84 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.81 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.99 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 3.01 | 31.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.17 | 42.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Riga 1–1 FK Jablonec, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Riga 19th (3 points), FK Jablonec 23rd (2 points).
- Form in the competition: Riga 4W 4D 0L (14:8), FK Jablonec 4W 1D 3L (12:8).
- Absences: Riga 0, FK Jablonec 0.
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Riga vs FK Jablonec: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Riga vs FK Jablonec: injuries and missing players
Riga
- No reported absences
FK Jablonec
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby AIF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Riga | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjælland | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Riga
Home and away
Riga vs FK Jablonec: last matches of both teams
Riga
FK Jablonec
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
RigaDDDFK JablonecDDLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Draw or FK Jablonec (X2) (1.62); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Our estimate gives Riga a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and FK Jablonec 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Skonto, Rīga. Referee: Viktor Kopievskiy, Ukraine.
Who will be missing?
Riga: no absences. FK Jablonec: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.1%), then 1–0 (9.3%) and 2–1 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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