Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Parma vs AS Roma (Serie A, 21 November 2026, 17:00): Parma +1.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.65. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.55. The bookmakers' odds give Parma 13%, the draw 20% and AS Roma 68%. The most likely score is 0–2.
Parma vs AS Roma: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Parma lie 15th, having collected 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L); AS Roma lie 3rd, having collected 24 points (7W 3D 0L).
What to expect
In our view AS Roma hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Parma 0, AS Roma 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Parma: no absences. AS Roma will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Parma vs AS Roma: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 8.00 | 5.20 | 1.43 |
| Market average | 7.29 | 4.81 | 1.39 |
| Lowest odds | 6.66 | 4.44 | 1.34 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 41.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.52 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:55. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Parma 0–2 AS Roma, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Parma 15th (8 points), AS Roma 3rd (24 points).
- Absences: Parma 0, AS Roma 0.
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Parma vs AS Roma: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Parma vs AS Roma: injuries and missing players
Parma
- No reported absences
AS Roma
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Parma
Home and away
Parma vs AS Roma: last matches of both teams
Parma
AS Roma
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Parma vs AS Roma?
Parma +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.65); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
Our estimate gives Parma a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AS Roma 68%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 17:00, venue Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.
Who will be missing?
Parma: no absences. AS Roma: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (11.5%), then 0–1 (10.4%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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