Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Osasuna vs Málaga (La Liga, 22 November 2026, 16:00): Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.97. Second tip: Osasuna to win at odds of 1.83. The bookmakers' odds give Osasuna 53%, the draw 26% and Málaga 21%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Osasuna vs Málaga: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Osasuna lie 15th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); Málaga lie 20th, having collected 5 points (0W 5D 6L).
What to expect
In our view Osasuna hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.81), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: Osasuna 0, Málaga 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.97). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Osasuna: no absences. Málaga will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Osasuna vs Málaga: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.83 | 3.80 | 4.88 |
| Market average | 1.77 | 3.65 | 4.60 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.41 | 4.03 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.29 | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.92 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.92 | 50.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.24 | 29.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.81 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 21:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Osasuna 1–1 Málaga, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Osasuna 15th (11 points), Málaga 20th (5 points).
- Absences: Osasuna 0, Málaga 0.
Who will win Osasuna vs Málaga?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Osasuna vs Málaga: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Osasuna vs Málaga: injuries and missing players
Osasuna
- No reported absences
Málaga
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Osasuna
Home and away
Osasuna vs Málaga: last matches of both teams
Osasuna
Málaga
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Osasuna vs Málaga?
Over 2.5 goals (1.97); Osasuna to win (1.83).
Who will win Osasuna vs Málaga?
Our estimate gives Osasuna a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Málaga 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.
Who will be missing?
Osasuna: no absences. Málaga: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.97) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.97).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.81).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.4%), then 1–0 (11.4%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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