Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lommel United vs Gent, 1 November 2026 · 17:30 at Soevereinstadion (Lommel), with Kevin van Damme, Belgium officiating. The odds point to Gent (52%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Lommel United win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Lommel United lose by 1. Loses: Lommel United lose by 2 or more.
Lommel United vs Gent: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lommel United lie 8th, having collected 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L); Gent lie 3rd, having collected 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Lommel United average 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 2.1 for and 0.4 against for Gent.
- Form in the competition. Lommel United: 3W 3D 3L, goals 11–11; Gent: 8W 1D 0L, goals 19–4.
- Head to head. In 2 previous meetings, Lommel United have taken 1 win to Gent's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 2–2.
What to expect
In our view Gent hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 2; Lommel United 1 win, 0 draws, Gent 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Lommel United 11–11, Gent 19–4.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Lommel United 0, Gent 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.79). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lommel United: no absences. Gent will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lommel United vs Gent: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.50 | 3.85 | 1.87 |
| Market average | 4.18 | 3.71 | 1.78 |
| Lowest odds | 3.90 | 3.48 | 1.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.75 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.06 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.96 | 2.82 | 33.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 16:51. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lommel United 1–1 Gent, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lommel United 8th (15 points), Gent 3rd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Lommel United 3W 3D 3L (11:11), Gent 8W 1D 0L (19:4).
- H2H: 2 matches: Lommel United 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Lommel United 0, Gent 0.
Who will win Lommel United vs Gent?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lommel United vs Gent: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lommel United vs Gent: injuries and missing players
Lommel United
- No reported absences
Gent
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Standard Liège | 11 | 4-3-4 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 8 | Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 10 |  KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 11 | 3-1-7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Lommel United
Home and away
Lommel United vs Gent: last matches of both teams
Lommel United
Gent
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Lommel UnitedWDWDLGentLWWWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lommel United vs Gent?
Lommel United +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Lommel United vs Gent?
Our estimate gives Lommel United a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gent 52%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 17:30, venue Soevereinstadion, Lommel. Referee: Kevin van Damme, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
Lommel United: no absences. Gent: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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