Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Puy Foot welcome Caen on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Charles Massot (Espaly-Saint Marcel). We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Caen win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Caen lose.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Le Puy Foot lie 6th, having collected 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L); Caen lie 4th, having collected 19 points (6W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Le Puy Foot average 1.2 goals for and 0.9 against, compared with 1.9 for and 1.3 against for Caen.
- Form in the competition. Le Puy Foot: 5W 1D 4L, goals 12–9; Caen: 6W 0D 4L, goals 19–13.
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Le Puy Foot have taken 1 win to Caen's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 3–4.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 59% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; Le Puy Foot 1 win, 1 draw, Caen 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Le Puy Foot 12–9, Caen 19–13.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.71). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Le Puy Foot: no absences. Caen will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.41 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.22 | 3.40 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.67 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.64 | 34.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.57 | 58.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 9.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Le Puy Foot 6th (17 points), Caen 4th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Puy Foot 5W 1D 4L (12:9), Caen 6W 0D 4L (19:13).
- H2H: 3 matches: Le Puy Foot 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
- Absences: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: injuries and missing players
Le Puy Foot
- No reported absences
Caen
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 | Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 | Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 12 | 2-5-5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Le Puy Foot
Home and away
Le Puy Foot vs Caen: last matches of both teams
Le Puy Foot
Caen
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Le Puy FootDWWLWCaenDWLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Caen +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?
Our estimate gives Le Puy Foot a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Caen 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 13:45, venue Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel.
Who will be missing?
Le Puy Foot: no absences. Caen: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.71) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.16).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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