Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 30 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Francis-Le Basser (Laval), Laval take on Boulogne, with Faouzi Benchabane in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Laval vs Boulogne: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Laval lie 17th, having collected 9 points after 11 matches (2W 3D 6L); Boulogne lie 12th, having collected 13 points (2W 7D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Laval average 1.3 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 0.7 for and 0.7 against for Boulogne.
- Form in the competition. Laval: 1W 3D 6L, goals 13–21; Boulogne: 1W 7D 2L, goals 7–7.
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Laval have taken 7 wins to Boulogne's 5 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 17–17.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.2%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Boulogne, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 67% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 48%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 42%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; Laval 7 wins, 5 draws, Boulogne 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Laval 13–21, Boulogne 7–7.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
- Unavailable: Laval 0, Boulogne 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.78). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Laval: no absences. Boulogne will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Laval vs Boulogne: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.69 | 3.15 | 2.92 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.05 | 2.82 |
| Lowest odds | 2.26 | 2.88 | 2.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.40 | 66.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.24 | 42.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.63 | 57.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.23 | 22.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.80 | 51.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Laval 1–1 Boulogne, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Laval 17th (9 points), Boulogne 12th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Laval 1W 3D 6L (13:21), Boulogne 1W 7D 2L (7:7).
- H2H: 17 matches: Laval 7W 5D 5L, goals 17–17.
- Absences: Laval 0, Boulogne 0.
Who will win Laval vs Boulogne?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Laval vs Boulogne: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Laval vs Boulogne: injuries and missing players
Laval
- No reported absences
Boulogne
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
Laval
Home and away
Laval vs Boulogne: last matches of both teams
Laval
Boulogne
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LavalWLDLDBoulogneWLDWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Laval vs Boulogne?
Under 2.5 goals (1.78); Laval or draw (1X) (1.44).
Who will win Laval vs Boulogne?
Our estimate gives Laval a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Boulogne 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 30 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stade Francis-Le Basser, Laval. Referee: Faouzi Benchabane.
Who will be missing?
Laval: no absences. Boulogne: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.42) and under 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.78).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 48% (odds 2.00).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (13.2%), then 1–0 (12.0%) and 0–1 (11.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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