Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01, 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Henri-Desgranges (La Roche-sur-Yon). The odds point to La Roche VF (55%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. La Roche VF lie 1st, having collected 24 points after 11 matches (7W 3D 1L); Bourg-en-bresse 01 lie 18th, having collected 5 points (1W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, La Roche VF average 1.6 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 0.5 for and 1.6 against for Bourg-en-bresse 01.
- Form in the competition. La Roche VF: 6W 3D 1L, goals 16–10; Bourg-en-bresse 01: 1W 2D 7L, goals 5–16.
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, La Roche VF have taken 1 win to Bourg-en-bresse 01's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 2–0.
What to expect
In our view La Roche VF hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (11.8%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), which we give a 51% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; La Roche VF 1 win, 0 draws, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: La Roche VF 16–10, Bourg-en-bresse 01 5–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: La Roche VF 0, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for La Roche VF: no absences. Bourg-en-bresse 01 will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.71 | 3.80 | 5.96 |
| Market average | 1.65 | 3.61 | 4.71 |
| Lowest odds | 1.58 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.82 | 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.92 | 48.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.12 | 2.99 | 30.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.80 | 51.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.88 | 48.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 9.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: La Roche VF 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: La Roche VF 1st (24 points), Bourg-en-bresse 01 18th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: La Roche VF 6W 3D 1L (16:10), Bourg-en-bresse 01 1W 2D 7L (5:16).
- H2H: 1 match: La Roche VF 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0.
- Absences: La Roche VF 0, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.
Who will win La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: injuries and missing players
La Roche VF
- No reported absences
Bourg-en-bresse 01
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 12 | 2-5-5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
La Roche VF
Home and away
La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: last matches of both teams
La Roche VF
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
La Roche VFWLWWWBourg-en-bresse 01LLLDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Both teams to score (1.91); La Roche VF to win (1.71).
Who will win La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our estimate gives La Roche VF a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 13:45, venue Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon.
Who will be missing?
La Roche VF: no absences. Bourg-en-bresse 01: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.86) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.97).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (11.8%), then 1–1 (11.2%) and 2–0 (10.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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