Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne (Mechelen), KV Mechelen take on Genk, with Lothar D'hondt, Belgium in charge. We make Genk (49%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. KV Mechelen lie 10th, having collected 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L); Genk lie 6th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, KV Mechelen average 1.1 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.4 against for Genk.
- Form in the competition. KV Mechelen: 1W 3D 4L, goals 9–17; Genk: 4W 3D 2L, goals 18–13.
- Head to head. In 36 previous meetings, KV Mechelen have taken 9 wins to Genk's 19 wins, plus 8 draws; the goal tally stands at 41–62.
What to expect
In our view Genk hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 36; KV Mechelen 9 wins, 8 draws, Genk 19 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: KV Mechelen 9–17, Genk 18–13.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: KV Mechelen 0, Genk 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for KV Mechelen: no absences. Genk will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.92 | 3.78 | 1.97 |
| Market average | 3.61 | 3.64 | 1.92 |
| Lowest odds | 3.20 | 3.22 | 1.83 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.19 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.64 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:25. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: KV Mechelen 1–1 Genk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: KV Mechelen 10th (12 points), Genk 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: KV Mechelen 1W 3D 4L (9:17), Genk 4W 3D 2L (18:13).
- H2H: 36 matches: KV Mechelen 9W 8D 19L, goals 41–62.
- Absences: KV Mechelen 0, Genk 0.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
KV Mechelen vs Genk: injuries and missing players
KV Mechelen
- No reported absences
Genk
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Standard Liège | 11 | 4-3-4 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 8 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 10 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 11 | 3-1-7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
KV Mechelen
Home and away
KV Mechelen vs Genk: last matches of both teams
KV Mechelen
Genk
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
KV MechelenWWWDLGenkLWWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for KV Mechelen vs Genk?
KV Mechelen or draw (1X) (1.91); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?
Our estimate gives KV Mechelen a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Genk 49%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne, Mechelen. Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
KV Mechelen: no absences. Genk: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.70) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.29).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 1–2 (9.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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