Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genk vs Standard Liège, 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Cegeka Arena (Genk), with Jasper Vergoote, Belgium officiating. The odds point to Genk (55%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Genk win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Genk win by 1. Loses: a draw, Genk lose.
Genk vs Standard Liège: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Genk lie 6th, having collected 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L); Standard Liège lie 7th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Genk average 2.0 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.6 against for Standard Liège.
- Form in the competition. Genk: 3W 3D 2L, goals 16–12; Standard Liège: 3W 2D 3L, goals 13–13.
- Head to head. In 48 previous meetings, Genk have taken 16 wins to Standard Liège's 19 wins, plus 13 draws; the goal tally stands at 54–64.
What to expect
In our view Genk hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 48; Genk 16 wins, 13 draws, Standard Liège 19 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Genk 16–12, Standard Liège 13–13.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Genk 0, Standard Liège 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.64). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Genk: no absences. Standard Liège will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Genk vs Standard Liège: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.98 |
| Market average | 1.69 | 3.86 | 4.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.60 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.58 | 2.45 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Genk 1–1 Standard Liège, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Genk 6th (15 points), Standard Liège 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Genk 3W 3D 2L (16:12), Standard Liège 3W 2D 3L (13:13).
- H2H: 48 matches: Genk 16W 13D 19L, goals 54–64.
- Absences: Genk 0, Standard Liège 0.
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liège?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Genk vs Standard Liège: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Genk vs Standard Liège: injuries and missing players
Genk
- No reported absences
Standard Liège
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Standard Liège | 11 | 4-3-4 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 8 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 10 |  KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 11 | 3-1-7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Genk
Home and away
Genk vs Standard Liège: last matches of both teams
Genk
Standard Liège
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
GenkLWWLDStandard LiègeWDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Genk vs Standard Liège?
Genk -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liège?
Our estimate gives Genk a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Standard Liège 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Cegeka Arena, Genk. Referee: Jasper Vergoote, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
Genk: no absences. Standard Liège: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.64) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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