Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden, 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel), with T. Gerach officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Holstein Kiel lie 18th, having collected 8 points after 10 matches (1W 5D 4L); Dynamo Dresden lie 14th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Holstein Kiel have taken 11 wins to Dynamo Dresden's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 28–8.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 15; Holstein Kiel 11 wins, 2 draws, Dynamo Dresden 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
- Unavailable: Holstein Kiel 0, Dynamo Dresden 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Holstein Kiel: no absences. Dynamo Dresden will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.35 | 3.84 | 2.96 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.67 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.56 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.35 | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.38 | 39.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 62.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.50 | 37.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Holstein Kiel 1–1 Dynamo Dresden, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Holstein Kiel 18th (8 points), Dynamo Dresden 14th (11 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Holstein Kiel 11W 2D 2L, goals 28–8.
- Absences: Holstein Kiel 0, Dynamo Dresden 0.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: injuries and missing players
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
Dynamo Dresden
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 11 | 3-3-5 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 10 |  Energie Cottbus | 11 | 2-5-4 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 12 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 13 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 17 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
Recent matches
Holstein Kiel
Home and away
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: last matches of both teams
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
Under 3.5 goals (1.60); Holstein Kiel or draw (1X) (1.45).
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
Our estimate gives Holstein Kiel a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dynamo Dresden 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. Referee: T. Gerach.
Who will be missing?
Holstein Kiel: no absences. Dynamo Dresden: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.61) and under 2.5 goals at 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–2 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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