Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dynamo Dresden welcome SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 6 November 2026 · 17:30 at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion (Dresden), and the referee is Michael Bacher. Dynamo Dresden (48%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, a draw. Loses: SpVgg Greuther Fürth lose.
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Dynamo Dresden lie 14th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); SpVgg Greuther Fürth lie 9th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Dynamo Dresden average 1.2 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.6 against for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Form in the competition. Dynamo Dresden: 2W 2D 6L, goals 12–20; SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 3W 3D 4L, goals 13–16.
- Head to head. In 14 previous meetings, Dynamo Dresden have taken 3 wins to SpVgg Greuther Fürth's 7 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 12–18.
What to expect
In our view Dynamo Dresden hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 14; Dynamo Dresden 3 wins, 4 draws, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Dynamo Dresden 12–20, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 13–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Dynamo Dresden 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Dynamo Dresden: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.10 | 3.84 | 3.76 |
| Market average | 1.97 | 3.64 | 3.51 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.29 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.19 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.19 | 43.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.68 | 2.57 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.35 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 13:37. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Dynamo Dresden 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dynamo Dresden 14th (11 points), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Dynamo Dresden 2W 2D 6L (12:20), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3W 3D 4L (13:16).
- H2H: 14 matches: Dynamo Dresden 3W 4D 7L, goals 12–18.
- Absences: Dynamo Dresden 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: injuries and missing players
Dynamo Dresden
- No reported absences
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 11 | 3-3-5 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 10 |  Energie Cottbus | 11 | 2-5-4 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 12 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 13 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 17 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dynamo Dresden
Home and away
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: last matches of both teams
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Dynamo DresdenWLLWDSpVgg Greuther FürthLWLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our estimate gives Dynamo Dresden a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 6 November 2026 at 17:30, venue Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden. Referee: Michael Bacher.
Who will be missing?
Dynamo Dresden: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.70) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.25).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.1%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.