Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Eredivisie, 21 November 2026, 17:45): Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.65. Second tip: Feyenoord to win at odds of 1.14. The bookmakers' odds give Feyenoord 84%, the draw 10% and Excelsior 6%. The most likely score is 3–0.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Feyenoord lie 1st, having collected 25 points after 11 matches (7W 4D 0L); Excelsior lie 15th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
What to expect
In our view Feyenoord hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 3–0 (10.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.14), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.65), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 76%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 76%.
- Unavailable: Feyenoord 0, Excelsior 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Feyenoord: no absences. Excelsior will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.14 | 10.60 | 18.50 |
| Market average | 1.12 | 9.29 | 16.50 |
| Lowest odds | 1.11 | 8.75 | 15.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 76.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.20 | 3.97 | 23.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.90 | 48.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Feyenoord 3–0 Excelsior, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Feyenoord 1st (25 points), Excelsior 15th (11 points).
- Absences: Feyenoord 0, Excelsior 0.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: injuries and missing players
Feyenoord
- No reported absences
Excelsior
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Feyenoord
Home and away
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: last matches of both teams
Feyenoord
Excelsior
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Over 3.5 goals (1.65); Feyenoord to win (1.14).
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Our estimate gives Feyenoord a 84% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Excelsior 6%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 17:45, venue De Kuip, Rotterdam.
Who will be missing?
Feyenoord: no absences. Excelsior: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 76% (odds 1.26) and under 2.5 goals at 24% (odds 4.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.85).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 3–0 (10.0%), then 2–0 (9.2%) and 4–0 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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