Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga, 22 November 2026, 14:30): FSV Mainz 05 +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.84. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47. The bookmakers' odds give FC Augsburg 35%, the draw 25% and FSV Mainz 05 40%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: FSV Mainz 05 win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: FSV Mainz 05 lose.
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Augsburg lie 11th, having collected 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L); FSV Mainz 05 lie 10th, having collected 10 points (3W 1D 4L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 67%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: FC Augsburg 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2)
Another angle: Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2) (probability 65%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Augsburg: no absences. FSV Mainz 05 will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.81 | 4.11 | 2.42 |
| Market average | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.36 |
| Lowest odds | 2.46 | 3.50 | 2.29 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.44 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.75 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.13 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.39 | 66.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.85 | 2.81 | 33.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 1–1 FSV Mainz 05, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 11th (9 points), FSV Mainz 05 10th (10 points).
- Absences: FC Augsburg 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: injuries and missing players
FC Augsburg
- No reported absences
FSV Mainz 05
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Augsburg
Home and away
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: last matches of both teams
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
FSV Mainz 05 +0 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our estimate gives FC Augsburg a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FSV Mainz 05 40%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 14:30, venue WWK Arena, Augsburg.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: no absences. FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 67% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.6%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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