Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bastia vs Quevilly, 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia). The odds point to Bastia (47%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Bastia vs Quevilly: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Bastia lie 11th, having collected 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L); Quevilly lie 13th, having collected 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Bastia average 0.8 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.4 against for Quevilly.
- Form in the competition. Bastia: 3W 3D 4L, goals 8–12; Quevilly: 3W 4D 3L, goals 11–14.
- Head to head. In 10 previous meetings, Bastia have taken 6 wins to Quevilly's 1 win, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–5.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 10; Bastia 6 wins, 3 draws, Quevilly 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Bastia 8–12, Quevilly 11–14.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: Bastia 0, Quevilly 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 50%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Bastia: no absences. Quevilly will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Bastia vs Quevilly: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.99 |
| Market average | 1.93 | 3.28 | 3.58 |
| Lowest odds | 1.86 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.33 | 69.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.04 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.57 | 25.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.85 | 49.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.83 | 50.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Bastia 1–1 Quevilly, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bastia 11th (15 points), Quevilly 13th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Bastia 3W 3D 4L (8:12), Quevilly 3W 4D 3L (11:14).
- H2H: 10 matches: Bastia 6W 3D 1L, goals 13–5.
- Absences: Bastia 0, Quevilly 0.
Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Bastia vs Quevilly: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Bastia vs Quevilly: injuries and missing players
Bastia
- No reported absences
Quevilly
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 | Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 12 | 2-5-5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bastia
Home and away
Bastia vs Quevilly: last matches of both teams
Bastia
Quevilly
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
BastiaWDDLDQuevillyLWLDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Bastia vs Quevilly?
Draw or Quevilly (X2) (1.82); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?
Our estimate gives Bastia a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Quevilly 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 13:45, venue Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia.
Who will be missing?
Bastia: no absences. Quevilly: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.11) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 2.00).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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