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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10 · 22 November 2026 · 16:30

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 November 2026, Bundesliga

1Werder Bremen1.76
XDraw4.41
2Hamburger SV4.51

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 06:07

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Our tip for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga, 22 November 2026, 16:30): Hamburger SV +1.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.59. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.57. The bookmakers' odds give Werder Bremen 55%, the draw 23% and Hamburger SV 22%. The most likely score is 1–1.

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Hamburger SV +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.59
Chance 62% · confidence medium

Wins: Hamburger SV win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Hamburger SV lose by 1. Loses: Hamburger SV lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Combo
Werder Bremen with over 2.5 goals
2.61
38% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Werder Bremen or draw (1X) at a probability of 78%, with odds of up to 1.24.
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Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Werder Bremen lie 5th, having collected 15 points after 8 matches (4W 3D 1L); Hamburger SV lie 8th, having collected 12 points (4W 0D 5L).

What to expect

In our view Werder Bremen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
  2. Unavailable: Werder Bremen 0, Hamburger SV 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Werder Bremen: no absences. Hamburger SV will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.764.414.51
Market average1.714.074.27
Lowest odds1.643.763.98
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1481.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5361.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.512.4638.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.402.3241.1%
BTTS – yes1.531.5261.3%
BTTS – no2.422.4038.7%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.6%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Werder Bremen 1–1 Hamburger SV, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Werder Bremen 5th (15 points), Hamburger SV 8th (12 points).
  • Absences: Werder Bremen 0, Hamburger SV 0.

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

Werder Bremen55%
Draw23%
Hamburger SV22%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.8% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Werder Bremen or draw (1X)78.0% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.57
Likely
Both teams to score: yes61.3% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.67
Possible
Werder Bremen to win54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.76
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.40
Outsider
Both teams to score: no38.7% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.42
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.51
Outsider
Draw23.1% · fair odds 4.33 · best 4.41
Outsider
Hamburger SV to win22.0% · fair odds 4.55 · best 4.51
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

1 : 110.0%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 08.4%
2 : 08.1%
3 : 16.4%
1 : 26.0%

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: injuries and missing players

Werder Bremen

  • No reported absences

Hamburger SV

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Hamburger SV94-0-510:2012
9Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
10FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
11FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
12VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
131899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
141. FC Köln82-3-39:129
15SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach91-1-712:254

Recent matches

Werder Bremen

31 OctWWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
24 OctWFSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
17 OctDWerder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
9 OctDBorussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
19 SeptWWerder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

Hamburger SV

6 NovWHamburger SV 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 NovLEintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Hamburger SV
24 OctLSC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV
17 OctWHamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart
10 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV

Home and away

Werder Bremen at home4 matches: 3W 1D 0L, goals 10–5
Hamburger SV away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 4–13

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: last matches of both teams

Werder Bremen

W 31/10/26 · Werder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
W 24/10/26 · FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
D 17/10/26 · Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
D 9/10/26 · Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
W 19/9/26 · Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

Hamburger SV

W 6/11/26 · Hamburger SV 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
L 1/11/26 · Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Hamburger SV
L 24/10/26 · SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV
W 17/10/26 · Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart
W 10/10/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.6%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

Hamburger SV +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.59); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).

Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?

Our estimate gives Werder Bremen a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hamburger SV 22%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:30, venue Weserstadion, Bremen.

Who will be missing?

Werder Bremen: no absences. Hamburger SV: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.51).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.53).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.0%), then 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.4%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 NovVfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen 7 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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