Taça da Liga
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 27 October 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon), Sporting CP take on Marítimo, with I. Vasilica in charge. We make Sporting CP (70%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Sporting CP win by 2 or more. Loses: Sporting CP win by 1, a draw, Sporting CP lose.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view Sporting CP hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
- Unavailable: Sporting CP 0, Marítimo 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.70). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sporting CP: no absences. Marítimo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.35 | 5.69 | 8.50 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.24 | 7.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 4.73 | 6.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.60 | 35.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.16 | 43.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.00 | 46.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sporting CP 2–0 Marítimo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Sporting CP 0, Marítimo 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: injuries and missing players
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Marítimo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: last matches of both teams
Sporting CP
Marítimo
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
Sporting CP -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
Our estimate gives Sporting CP a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Marítimo 12%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 20:15, venue Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: I. Vasilica.
Who will be missing?
Sporting CP: no absences. Marítimo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.6%), then 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.