Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 19:30 at Bishopsgate (Longford), Longford Town take on UCD. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Longford Town vs UCD: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Longford Town lie 5th, having collected 52 points after 36 matches (14W 10D 12L); UCD lie 2nd, having collected 56 points (16W 8D 12L).
- Head to head. In 18 previous meetings, Longford Town have taken 3 wins to UCD's 10 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 16–26.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 18; Longford Town 3 wins, 5 draws, UCD 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Longford Town 0, UCD 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Longford Town: no absences. UCD will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Longford Town vs UCD: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.31 |
| Market average | 2.90 | 3.26 | 2.22 |
| Lowest odds | 2.39 | 3.00 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.67 | 54.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.01 | 45.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.65 | 34.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.55 | 58.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.21 | 41.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 10.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Longford Town 1–1 UCD, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Longford Town 5th (52 points), UCD 2nd (56 points).
- H2H: 18 matches: Longford Town 3W 5D 10L, goals 16–26.
- Absences: Longford Town 0, UCD 0.
Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Longford Town vs UCD: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Longford Town vs UCD: injuries and missing players
Longford Town
- No reported absences
UCD
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 36 | 23-6-7 | 74:35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16-8-12 | 67:51 | 56 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15-9-12 | 67:53 | 54 |
| 4 |  Kerry FC | 36 | 14-10-12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14-10-12 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 6 |  Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14-7-15 | 46:54 | 49 |
| 7 |  Athlone Town | 36 | 13-9-14 | 42:43 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wexford | 36 | 11-9-16 | 44:58 | 42 |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 36 | 11-9-16 | 37:53 | 42 |
| 10 |  Finn Harps | 36 | 7-7-22 | 33:70 | 28 |
Recent matches
Longford Town
Home and away
Longford Town vs UCD: last matches of both teams
Longford Town
UCD
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Longford Town vs UCD?
Longford Town or draw (1X) (1.65); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?
Our estimate gives Longford Town a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and UCD 41%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 19:30, venue Bishopsgate, Longford.
Who will be missing?
Longford Town: no absences. UCD: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.74) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.11).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.