Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hertha BSC welcome Arminia Bielefeld on 24 October 2026 · 12:00 at Olympiastadion (Berlin), and the referee is C. Ballweg. Hertha BSC (52%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Hertha BSC lie 1st, having collected 28 points after 10 matches (9W 1D 0L); Arminia Bielefeld lie 7th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Hertha BSC have taken 3 wins to Arminia Bielefeld's 2 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–9.
What to expect
In our view Hertha BSC hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Hertha BSC 3 wins, 4 draws, Arminia Bielefeld 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.9 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Hertha BSC 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Hertha BSC: no absences. Arminia Bielefeld will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.87 | 4.05 | 4.16 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.84 | 3.98 |
| Lowest odds | 1.79 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.51 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 10:33. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Hertha BSC 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hertha BSC 1st (28 points), Arminia Bielefeld 7th (14 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Hertha BSC 3W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Hertha BSC 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: injuries and missing players
Hertha BSC
- No reported absences
Arminia Bielefeld
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 11 | 3-3-5 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 10 |  Energie Cottbus | 11 | 2-5-4 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 12 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 13 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 16 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 17 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
Recent matches
Hertha BSC
Home and away
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: last matches of both teams
Hertha BSC
Arminia Bielefeld
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Under 3.5 goals (1.56); Hertha BSC to win (1.87).
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our estimate gives Hertha BSC a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arminia Bielefeld 24%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 12:00, venue Olympiastadion, Berlin. Referee: C. Ballweg.
Who will be missing?
Hertha BSC: no absences. Arminia Bielefeld: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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