Football
Home › Predictions › FC Porto vs Académico Viseu
Taça da Liga · quarter-final · 28 October 2026 · 20:30

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: prediction, odds and betting tip – 28 October 2026, Taça da Liga

1FC Porto1.36
XDraw5.10
2Académico Viseu8.89

Top price available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu, 28 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Do Dragão (Porto), with S. Guelho officiating. The odds point to FC Porto (70%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Académico Viseu +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Chance 53% · confidence medium

Wins: Académico Viseu win, a draw, Académico Viseu lose by 1. Loses: Académico Viseu lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Chance 64% · confidence medium
Combo
FC Porto with over 2.5 goals
2.16
46% · combo fair odds
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Porto or draw (1X) at a probability of 89%, with odds of up to 1.07.
Freshbet100% UP TO £1500
Bet now →

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 6 previous meetings, FC Porto have taken 5 wins to Académico Viseu's 0 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 14–3.

What to expect

In our view FC Porto hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (12.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 47%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 6; FC Porto 5 wins, 1 draw, Académico Viseu 0 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
  4. Unavailable: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for FC Porto: no absences. Académico Viseu will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.365.108.89
Market average1.344.978.43
Lowest odds1.334.807.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1978.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6557.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2142.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5736.2%
BTTS – yes2.001.9547.4%
BTTS – no1.781.7652.6%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Académico Viseu, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 6 matches: FC Porto 5W 1D 0L, goals 14–3.
  • Absences: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

FC Porto70%
Draw19%
Académico Viseu11%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: more betting tips

FC Porto or draw (1X)88.9% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.21
Likely
FC Porto to win70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.51
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams to score: no52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.78
Possible
Both teams to score: yes47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.2% · fair odds 2.76 · best 2.63
Outsider
Draw18.9% · fair odds 5.30 · best 5.10
Outsider
Académico Viseu to win11.1% · fair odds 8.98 · best 8.89
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.5%

Correct score tips

2 : 012.7%
1 : 011.5%
2 : 19.5%
3 : 09.3%
1 : 18.6%
3 : 17.0%

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: injuries and missing players

FC Porto

  • No reported absences

Académico Viseu

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: last matches of both teams

FC Porto

W 4/11/26 · FC Porto 4–1 Napoli
W 31/10/26 · FC Porto 4–0 Estoril
W 24/10/26 · GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
L 20/10/26 · FC Porto 0–1 PSV Eindhoven
L 14/10/26 · Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto

Académico Viseu

W 1/11/26 · Académico Viseu 2–1 Rio Ave
W 25/10/26 · Sporting CP 1–2 Académico Viseu
W 10/10/26 · Académico Viseu 2–1 Estoril
W 20/9/26 · Estrela 0–2 Académico Viseu
W 12/9/26 · Académico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC

Team comparison

FC PortoAcadémico Viseu
100%Head to head0%
87%Goals13%
87.0%Overall13.0%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Head to head

All matches
5FC Porto
1Draws
0Académico Viseu
29/8/26 · Académico Viseu 0–3 FC Porto
8/2/23 · Académico Viseu 0–1 FC Porto
25/1/23 · FC Porto 3–0 Académico Viseu
17/7/21 · FC Porto 3–2 Académico Viseu
12/2/20 · FC Porto 3–0 Académico Viseu
4/2/20 · Académico Viseu 1–1 FC Porto

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

Académico Viseu +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).

Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

Our estimate gives FC Porto a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Académico Viseu 11%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 20:30, venue Estádio Do Dragão, Porto. Referee: S. Guelho.

Who will be missing?

FC Porto: no absences. Académico Viseu: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 47% (odds 2.00).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–0 (12.7%), then 1–0 (11.5%) and 2–1 (9.5%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.