Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Crewe, 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at St James Park (Exeter), with H. Wager officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Crewe win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Crewe lose.
Exeter City vs Crewe: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Exeter City lie 12th, having collected 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L); Crewe lie 4th, having collected 22 points (5W 7D 2L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.0%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
- Unavailable: Exeter City 0, Crewe 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Exeter City: no absences. Crewe will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Exeter City vs Crewe: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.55 | 3.40 | 3.02 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.15 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.61 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.33 | 69.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.09 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 55.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.67 | 25.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.80 | 51.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.92 | 48.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Exeter City 1–1 Crewe, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Exeter City 12th (19 points), Crewe 4th (22 points).
- Absences: Exeter City 0, Crewe 0.
Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Exeter City vs Crewe: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Exeter City vs Crewe: injuries and missing players
Exeter City
- No reported absences
Crewe
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Exeter City
Home and away
Exeter City vs Crewe: last matches of both teams
Exeter City
Crewe
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Exeter City vs Crewe?
Crewe +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?
Our estimate gives Exeter City a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Crewe 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue St James Park, Exeter. Referee: H. Wager.
Who will be missing?
Exeter City: no absences. Crewe: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.19) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (13.0%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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