Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bristol Rovers welcome Swindon Town on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Memorial Stadium (Bristol), and the referee is S. Stockbridge. Bristol Rovers (56%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Bristol Rovers win. Loses: a draw, Bristol Rovers lose.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Bristol Rovers lie 17th, having collected 16 points after 14 matches (5W 1D 8L); Swindon Town lie 13th, having collected 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
- Head to head. In 15 previous meetings, Bristol Rovers have taken 4 wins to Swindon Town's 6 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–20.
What to expect
In our view Bristol Rovers hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 15; Bristol Rovers 4 wins, 5 draws, Swindon Town 6 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Bristol Rovers 0, Swindon Town 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Bristol Rovers: no absences. Swindon Town will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.71 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Market average | 1.66 | 3.94 | 4.73 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.15 | 43.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 10:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Swindon Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bristol Rovers 17th (16 points), Swindon Town 13th (19 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Bristol Rovers 4W 5D 6L, goals 13–20.
- Absences: Bristol Rovers 0, Swindon Town 0.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: injuries and missing players
Bristol Rovers
- No reported absences
Swindon Town
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Bristol Rovers
Home and away
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: last matches of both teams
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
Head to head
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Bristol Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.71); Under 3.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Our estimate gives Bristol Rovers a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Swindon Town 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Memorial Stadium, Bristol. Referee: S. Stockbridge.
Who will be missing?
Bristol Rovers: no absences. Swindon Town: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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