Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon welcome Mansfield Town on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Plough Lane (Wimbledon). We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. AFC Wimbledon lie 18th, having collected 13 points after 13 matches (3W 4D 6L); Mansfield Town lie 11th, having collected 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
What to expect
In our view Mansfield Town hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: AFC Wimbledon 0, Mansfield Town 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for AFC Wimbledon: no absences. Mansfield Town will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.47 | 3.61 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.32 | 3.41 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.12 | 3.14 | 2.04 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.98 | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Mansfield Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AFC Wimbledon 18th (13 points), Mansfield Town 11th (19 points).
- Absences: AFC Wimbledon 0, Mansfield Town 0.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: injuries and missing players
AFC Wimbledon
- No reported absences
Mansfield Town
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
AFC Wimbledon
Home and away
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: last matches of both teams
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
AFC Wimbledon or draw (1X) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
Our estimate gives AFC Wimbledon a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mansfield Town 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Plough Lane, Wimbledon.
Who will be missing?
AFC Wimbledon: no absences. Mansfield Town: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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