Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 25 October 2026 · 15:00 at CASA Arena (Horsens), AC Horsens take on Sønderjyske, with Jacob A Sundberg in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: AC Horsens win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: AC Horsens lose.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. AC Horsens lie 7th, having collected 16 points after 13 matches (4W 4D 5L); Sønderjyske lie 12th, having collected 8 points (2W 2D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, AC Horsens average 1.6 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.5 for and 2.2 against for Sønderjyske.
- Form in the competition. AC Horsens: 3W 4D 4L, goals 18–19; Sønderjyske: 2W 2D 7L, goals 16–24.
- Head to head. In 26 previous meetings, AC Horsens have taken 9 wins to Sønderjyske's 12 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 42–45.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 26; AC Horsens 9 wins, 5 draws, Sønderjyske 12 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: AC Horsens 18–19, Sønderjyske 16–24.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Sønderjyske will be without: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.86 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.45 | 2.76 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.72 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.08 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.75 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:53. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: AC Horsens 1–1 Sønderjyske, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: AC Horsens 7th (16 points), Sønderjyske 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Horsens 3W 4D 4L (18:19), Sønderjyske 2W 2D 7L (16:24).
- H2H: 26 matches: AC Horsens 9W 5D 12L, goals 42–45.
- Absences: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: injuries and missing players
AC Horsens
- C. Vestergaardknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Kolskogennot in the squad · doubtful
Sønderjyske
- M. Bundgaardnot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Durunot in the squad · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 | AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Silkeborg | 14 | 3-6-5 | 18:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 14 | 2-5-7 | 19:29 | 11 |
| 12 | Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
AC Horsens
Home and away
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: last matches of both teams
AC Horsens
Sønderjyske
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AC HorsensLWDDDSønderjyskeLLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
AC Horsens +0 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
Our estimate gives AC Horsens a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sønderjyske 34%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 15:00, venue CASA Arena, Horsens. Referee: Jacob A Sundberg.
Who will be missing?
AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Sønderjyske: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.78) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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