Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town (FA Cup, 8 November 2026, 15:00): Crawley Town -1.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 2.15. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62. The bookmakers' odds give Wimborne Town 18%, the draw 22% and Crawley Town 60%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Wins: Crawley Town win by 2 or more. Half lost (half the stake back): Crawley Town win by 1. Loses: a draw, Crawley Town lose.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town preview and prediction
Crawley Town travel to Wimborne Town as the clear favourites for this FA Cup, 1/128-finals tie on 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00. The bookmakers make Crawley a 66% chance to win and Wimborne only 15%, and we are happy to go along with that view. Our interest is less in who wins than in how much daylight there is likely to be between the two sides.
The key facts
- Likely result: Wimborne Town 1–2 Crawley Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Wimborne Town 0, Crawley Town 0.
Crawley's five matches: one win, two defeats
Crawley have played five matches in all competitions, and the record is one win, two draws and two defeats. They have scored seven and conceded eight, so the defensive figures are the ones to watch. They drew 2-2 at home with Chesterfield and lost 2-1 at Salford, then went down 2-3 at home to Shrewsbury before a 1-1 draw with Tranmere. The 1-0 win at Oldham was the one match in which they kept a clean sheet.
Those five results are from all competitions, not only this cup, so they tell us about the side in general rather than in this tournament. We would not treat the 2-3 defeat to Shrewsbury as a warning sign on its own, but the fact that both teams scored in four of the five is something we keep coming back to.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: last matches of both teams
Wimborne Town
Crawley Town
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: injuries and missing players
Wimborne Town
- No reported absences
Crawley Town
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
No earlier meeting to lean on
There is no known earlier meeting between Wimborne Town and Crawley Town, so there is no head-to-head pattern to use. That leaves the judgement to the form and the prices. It is a first meeting in a cup tie, and we would rather trust the bookmakers' sense of the gap than invent a history that does not exist.
Who will win Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Wimborne TownWDDWWCrawley TownNo reported absences
No absences have been reported for either side.
What the prices say about the goals
The bookmakers make over 2.5 goals a 62% chance at best odds 1.53, and over 1.5 an 81% chance. Their expected figures are Crawley around 2 and Wimborne around 1, so about 3 goals in total. The most likely exact scores are 0-2 at 10.4%, 1-2 at 9.9% and 0-1 at 9.4%. Those are the figures the market expects, and they describe a match in which Crawley win. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 9.1%, which is typical enough and does not hide anything unusual.
Our Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town betting tip: Crawley Town -1.25
Our main tip is Crawley Town -1.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 2.15 (chance 43%). The market gives it 43% at best odds 2.15, and at that price we see it as a fair bet rather than a bargain. The split stake softens the blow if Crawley only win by one goal, which is the scenario that worries us most.
Meaning: half the stake on Crawley Town -1.5, half on Crawley Town -1 (at -1.5 Crawley Town must win by 2 or more; at -1 Crawley Town must win by 2 or more, a win by exactly 1 returns the stake).
How the main tip settles on the likeliest scores (home-away): 0-2 wins; 1-2 half lost (half the stake back); 0-1 half lost (half the stake back); 1-1 loses; 0-3 wins; 1-3 wins.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.40 | 4.64 | 1.58 |
| Market average | 5.06 | 4.31 | 1.55 |
| Lowest odds | 4.81 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.16 | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.44 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 23:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.8%.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Our second tip: Over 2.5 goals
Our second tip is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.53 (chance 62%). Crawley have had more than 2.5 goals in three of their five matches in all competitions, the expected total is about 3, and the market gives it 62% at best odds 1.53.
How the second tip settles on the likeliest scores (home-away): 0-2 loses; 1-2 wins; 0-1 loses; 1-1 loses; 0-3 wins; 1-3 wins.
Other bets worth a look
If you want a safer route, Crawley to win at odds 1.42 (chance 66%) is the plainest option, and it matches the way we see the match. Those who prefer a bit more margin for the same idea might look at Crawley Town -0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.50 (chance 63%).
Meaning: half the stake on Crawley Town -1, half on Crawley Town -0.5 (at -1 Crawley Town must win by 2 or more, a win by exactly 1 returns the stake; at -0.5 Crawley Town must win by 1 or more).
- Crawley Town to win at odds 1.42 (chance 66%). The simplest of the lot.
- Crawley Town -0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.50 (chance 63%). Our choice for those who want a little more return on the winning side.
Final word before the whistle
We like Crawley and we like the over 2.5 goals angle, though the main tip is the one we would stake most on. We would not back Wimborne at 6.70, and we would not chase the draw at 4.85 either. Keep the stakes modest on a cup tie, because the prices already carry most of what we know about this match.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
Crawley Town -1.25 (Asian handicap) (2.15); Over 2.5 goals (1.62).
Who will win Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town?
Our estimate gives Wimborne Town a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crawley Town 60%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 15:00, venue The Cuthbury, Wimborne.
Who will be missing?
Wimborne Town: no absences. Crawley Town: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.7%) and 0–2 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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