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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Tudelano
0–4
Zaragoza
1Tudelano7.00
XDraw4.33
2Zaragoza1.55

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela (Tudela), Tudelano take on Zaragoza. We make Zaragoza (61%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Tudelano +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.75
Chance 57% · confidence medium

Wins: Tudelano win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Tudelano lose by 1. Loses: Tudelano lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score: no
1.80
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Combo
Zaragoza with over 2.5 goals
2.80
36% · combo fair odds
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Zaragoza (X2) at a probability of 84%, with odds of up to 1.14.
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Tudelano vs Zaragoza: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Tudelano have taken 0 wins to Zaragoza's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 0–4.

What to expect

In our view Zaragoza hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (13.4%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Both teams to score: no (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 46%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Tudelano 0 wins, 0 draws, Zaragoza 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 4.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
  4. Unavailable: Tudelano 0, Zaragoza 0.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.82). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Tudelano: no absences. Zaragoza will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available7.004.331.55
Market average5.973.901.52
Lowest odds5.323.561.45
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3070.7%
Over 2.5 goals2.001.9547.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.821.7952.2%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.2928.0%
BTTS – yes2.202.0245.9%
BTTS – no1.801.7154.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Tudelano 0–1 Zaragoza, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Tudelano 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–4.
  • Absences: Tudelano 0, Zaragoza 0.

Who will win Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

Tudelano16%
Draw24%
Zaragoza61%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: more betting tips

Draw or Zaragoza (X2)84.4% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Under 3.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.30
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.7% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.34
Likely
Zaragoza to win60.7% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.55
Likely
Both teams to score: no54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.2% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.82
Possible
Over 2.5 goals47.8% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both teams to score: yes45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.0% · fair odds 3.58 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw23.7% · fair odds 4.22 · best 4.33
Outsider
Tudelano to win15.6% · fair odds 6.43 · best 7.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.96 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.4%

Correct score tips

0 : 113.4%
0 : 212.0%
1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 07.4%
0 : 37.2%

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: injuries and missing players

Tudelano

  • No reported absences

Zaragoza

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Head to head

0Tudelano
0Draws
1Zaragoza
27/10/26 · Tudelano 0–4 Zaragoza

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

Tudelano +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Both teams to score: no (1.80).

Who will win Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

Our estimate gives Tudelano a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zaragoza 61%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela, Tudela.

Who will be missing?

Tudelano: no absences. Zaragoza: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.00) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.82).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 46% (odds 2.20).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–1 (13.4%), then 0–2 (12.0%) and 1–1 (10.7%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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