Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Tavernes vs Valencia (Copa del Rey, 10 November 2026, 20:00): Valencia to win at odds of 1.00. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 5.95. The bookmakers' odds give Tavernes 2%, the draw 4% and Valencia 95%. The most likely score is 0–3.
Tavernes vs Valencia preview and prediction
The numbers in this one are lopsided almost to the point of comedy. The market makes Valencia a 95% chance at 1.00, and the expected goals sit at 4 for Valencia and 1 for Tavernes, roughly five in total. Those are the figures that jump out, and they tell us where the value question lies: not in who wins, but in how the goals fall.
The key facts
- Likely result: Tavernes 0–3 Valencia, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Absences: Tavernes 0, Valencia 0.
Attack against defence, and what the market sees
Valencia have scored 6 and conceded 7 goals in their last five matches in all competitions, and that record is a mixed one. They are not a side that rolls teams over every week. A 0-0 at home to Athletic Club sits next to a 1-2 home defeat to Villarreal, and a 2-2 away draw at Racing Santander sits next to a 2-3 home loss to Real Sociedad. The counts show one win, two draws and two defeats, with both teams scoring in three of those five and more than 2.5 goals in three. So Valencia's matches tend to be open, but they do not always end with the ball in the net for them.
Tavernes give us nothing to measure. No recent results, no home or away record and no goal figures are available for them, so any attacking or defensive comparison has to stop at the expected goals line. We have to be honest about that gap. We would not build a view of this tie on a side we cannot see.
Who will win Tavernes vs Valencia?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Form, and why the last five matter less here
Those five results are of all competitions, not just this one, so they tell us about Valencia's general sharpness rather than their league standing. The most recent was a 1-0 away win at Elche on 1 November, and the run before it contains enough dropped points to stop us from calling them dominant. We like the fact they have won away and kept things tight at home against Athletic Club. We do not like how easily they have given up goals to Real Sociedad and Villarreal.
No meetings on record, no absences to weigh
There is no earlier meeting between these two sides on record, so there is no head-to-head pattern to lean on. Neither club has any absence reported, which at least means we do not have a team-sheet story to chase before kick-off.
Our Tavernes vs Valencia betting tip: Valencia to win
We are backing Valencia to win at odds 1.00, with the market giving them a 95% chance. That is the tip on this page, and we want to be clear about what it is. At 1.00 there is no profit in it. It is a banker in the sense that the bookmakers are almost certain, and it returns the stake and nothing more. We would not stake big on it for value reasons. We would use it only as the anchor of a bet that has a reason to exist.
The argument for it is simple: the market gives Valencia 95% at best odds 1.00, and nothing else in the data pushes against that. The bet wins on 0-2, 0-3, 0-4, 0-5, 1-3 and 1-4.
Tavernes vs Valencia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Our second tip: Both teams to score
This is the one we actually like. Both teams to score at odds 5.95 carries a 22% chance in the market, which is the price that makes this interesting. Valencia have scored in four of their last five matches, and both teams have found the net in three of those five. Valencia failed to score in just one of those five, which is a useful reminder that their attack does not switch off.
The expected total is about five goals, and with Valencia's expected four, a Tavernes goal is the piece that completes the bet. We are not saying Tavernes will score. We are saying the price on a Tavernes goal, given the attacking spread in this tie, is bigger than it should be. The bet wins on 1-3 and 1-4 and loses on 0-2, 0-3, 0-4 and 0-5. That is a narrow path, and we know it. At 5.95 it is worth the risk.
Tavernes vs Valencia: last matches of both teams
Tavernes
Valencia
Tavernes vs Valencia: injuries and missing players
Tavernes
- No reported absences
Valencia
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Other markets we are leaving alone
We have no other bets to recommend here, so we will not pretend otherwise. The bookmakers expect over 1.5 goals at 98%, over 2.5 goals at 96% and over 3.5 goals at 89%, and the under lines carry 2%, 4% and 11%. The both-teams-to-score-no side sits at 78% with odds 1.30. These are the prices the market is setting, and we see no reason to back any of them ourselves. Over 2.5 at 1.01 gives nothing back, and we would rather keep the stake for the second tip.
Tavernes vs Valencia: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 51.00 | 26.00 | 1.00 |
| Market average | 51.00 | 26.00 | 1.00 |
| Lowest odds | 51.00 | 26.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.00 | 1.00 | 98.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.01 | 1.01 | 95.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23.00 | 23.00 | 4.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.07 | 89.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 5.95 | 4.68 | 21.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.30 | 1.20 | 78.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
TavernesDDValenciaThe most likely score
The most likely exact scores are 0-3 at 8.4%, 0-4 at 8.4% and 1-3 at 7.1%. Our pick is 1-3. It is the one score that wins both our tips at once, with Valencia taking it and Tavernes finding the net, and it sits close to the expected goals split of 1 and 4. Valencia to win and both teams to score: 1-3.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Tavernes vs Valencia?
Valencia to win (1.00); Both teams to score (5.95).
Who will win Tavernes vs Valencia?
Our estimate gives Tavernes a 2% chance of winning, the draw 4% and Valencia 95%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 10 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.
Who will be missing?
Tavernes: no absences. Valencia: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 96% (odds 1.01) and under 2.5 goals at 4% (odds 23.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 22% (odds 5.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–3 (8.4%), then 0–4 (8.4%) and 1–3 (7.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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