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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 18:00

Sestao River vs Espanyol: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Sestao River
4–3
1Sestao River7.50
XDraw4.63
2Espanyol1.48

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 17:43

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sestao River vs Espanyol, 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao). The odds point to Espanyol (64%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Sestao River vs Espanyol: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Espanyol to win
1.48
Chance 64% · confidence medium
Combo
Espanyol with over 2.5 goals
2.43
41% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Espanyol (X2) at a probability of 86%, with odds of up to 1.11.
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Sestao River vs Espanyol: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Espanyol hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

    On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
    2. Unavailable: Sestao River 0, Espanyol 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no

    Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Sestao River: no absences. Espanyol will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Sestao River vs Espanyol: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available7.504.631.48
    Market average6.454.381.43
    Lowest odds5.613.861.40
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.231.2175.9%
    Over 2.5 goals1.801.7254.4%
    Under 2.5 goals2.152.0545.6%
    Over 3.5 goals2.952.7233.9%
    BTTS – yes1.951.8749.4%
    BTTS – no1.871.8350.6%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 17:43. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: Sestao River 0–2 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Sestao River 0, Espanyol 0.

    Who will win Sestao River vs Espanyol?

    Sestao River14%
    Draw21%
    Espanyol64%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Sestao River vs Espanyol: more betting tips

    Draw or Espanyol (X2)85.6% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.11
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals75.9% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.23
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.42
    Likely
    Espanyol to win64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.80
    Possible
    Both teams to score: no50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
    Possible
    Both teams to score: yes49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.15
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.95
    Outsider
    Draw21.1% · fair odds 4.73 · best 4.63
    Outsider
    Sestao River to win14.4% · fair odds 6.95 · best 7.50
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Corners and cards betting

    Cornersline 9.5 corners
    Over 1.78 · Under 1.95
    probability of over 52.3%

    Correct score tips

    0 : 211.6%
    0 : 111.6%
    1 : 29.8%
    1 : 19.8%
    0 : 37.7%
    1 : 36.6%

    Sestao River vs Espanyol: injuries and missing players

    Sestao River

    • No reported absences

    Espanyol

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Sestao River vs Espanyol: last matches of both teams

    Sestao River

    Espanyol

    W 30/10/26 · Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol
    L 24/10/26 · Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
    L 17/10/26 · Espanyol 0–1 Atlético Madrid
    D 9/10/26 · Málaga 1–1 Espanyol
    L 18/9/26 · Espanyol 1–3 Elche

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.3%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Sestao River vs Espanyol?

    Over 2.5 goals (1.80); Espanyol to win (1.48).

    Who will win Sestao River vs Espanyol?

    Our estimate gives Sestao River a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Espanyol 64%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao.

    Who will be missing?

    Sestao River: no absences. Espanyol: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.15).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.95).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 0–2 (11.6%), then 0–1 (11.6%) and 1–2 (9.8%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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    18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.