Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg, 28 October 2026 · 17:00 at Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg), with S. Storks officiating. The odds point to SC Freiburg (57%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, SC Freiburg average 5.0 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 3.0 for and 3.0 against for VfL Wolfsburg.
- Form in the competition. SC Freiburg: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1; VfL Wolfsburg: 0W 1D 0L, goals 3–3.
- Head to head. In 33 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have taken 14 wins to VfL Wolfsburg's 14 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 50–61.
What to expect
In our view SC Freiburg hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.94), which we give a 51% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 66%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 33; SC Freiburg 14 wins, 5 draws, VfL Wolfsburg 14 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: SC Freiburg 5–1, VfL Wolfsburg 3–3.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
- Unavailable: SC Freiburg 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 49%, top price 2.09). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for SC Freiburg: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.72 | 4.50 | 4.56 |
| Market average | 1.65 | 4.26 | 4.41 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 2.93 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.09 | 1.94 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 65.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.72 | 34.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 16:29. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: SC Freiburg 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: SC Freiburg 1W 0D 0L (5:1), VfL Wolfsburg 0W 1D 0L (3:3).
- H2H: 33 matches: SC Freiburg 14W 5D 14L, goals 50–61.
- Absences: SC Freiburg 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: injuries and missing players
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
VfL Wolfsburg
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: last matches of both teams
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
SC FreiburgWVfL WolfsburgDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Under 3.5 goals (1.94); SC Freiburg to win (1.72).
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our estimate gives SC Freiburg a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VfL Wolfsburg 21%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. Referee: S. Storks.
Who will be missing?
SC Freiburg: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.40) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.5%), then 1–1 (8.6%) and 2–0 (7.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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