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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 27 October 2026 · 17:00

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

Rot-Weiß Essen
W
1–2
1Rot-Weiß Essen14.14
XDraw8.50
2RB Leipzig1.21

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 16:22

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rot-Weiß Essen welcome RB Leipzig on 27 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadion an der Hafenstraße (Essen), and the referee is F. Exner. RB Leipzig (80%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
RB Leipzig -2 (Asian handicap)
1.80
Chance 55% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.73
Chance 56% · confidence medium
Combo
RB Leipzig with over 2.5 goals
1.55
64% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or RB Leipzig (X2) at a probability of 92%, with odds of up to 1.06. Because the result is a short price, we would add a goals tip alongside it.
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Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Rot-Weiß Essen average 2.0 goals for and 0.0 against, compared with 6.0 for and 0.0 against for RB Leipzig.
  2. Form in the competition. Rot-Weiß Essen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0; RB Leipzig: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–0.
  3. Head to head. In 2 previous meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen have taken 0 wins to RB Leipzig's 2 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 2–6.

What to expect

In our view RB Leipzig hold the advantage. We project a 1–3 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

With the result at a short price (1.21), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 74%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 2; Rot-Weiß Essen 0 wins, 0 draws, RB Leipzig 2 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 4.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0, RB Leipzig 6–0.
  4. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
  5. Unavailable: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, RB Leipzig 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 54%, top price 1.74). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Rot-Weiß Essen: no absences. RB Leipzig will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available14.148.501.21
Market average12.237.711.16
Lowest odds9.456.381.13
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.101.0687.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2474.4%
Under 2.5 goals3.823.6225.6%
Over 3.5 goals1.731.6855.6%
BTTS – yes1.741.7253.9%
BTTS – no2.052.0146.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 16:22. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.9%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Rot-Weiß Essen 0–2 RB Leipzig, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: Rot-Weiß Essen 1W 0D 0L (2:0), RB Leipzig 1W 0D 0L (6:0).
  • H2H: 2 matches: Rot-Weiß Essen 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–6.
  • Absences: Rot-Weiß Essen 0, RB Leipzig 0.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Rot-Weiß Essen8%
Draw12%
RB Leipzig80%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: more betting tips

Draw or RB Leipzig (X2)92.3% · fair odds 1.08 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals87.8% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
RB Leipzig to win80.2% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 2.5 goals74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 3.5 goals55.6% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams to score: yes53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.74
Possible
Both teams to score: no46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals44.4% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.22
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.82
Outsider
Draw12.1% · fair odds 8.25 · best 8.50
Outsider
Rot-Weiß Essen to win7.7% · fair odds 13.01 · best 14.14
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.80 · Under 1.93
probability of over 51.8%

Correct score tips

0 : 29.6%
0 : 39.6%
1 : 28.1%
1 : 38.1%
0 : 47.2%
0 : 16.4%

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: injuries and missing players

Rot-Weiß Essen

  • No reported absences

RB Leipzig

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: last matches of both teams

Rot-Weiß Essen

RB Leipzig

L 4/11/26 · RB Leipzig 2–3 Manchester City
W 31/10/26 · FC Schalke 04 0–2 RB Leipzig
W 24/10/26 · RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
L 21/10/26 · Real Madrid 4–1 RB Leipzig
L 17/10/26 · Bayern München 6–1 RB Leipzig

Team comparison

Rot-Weiß EssenRB Leipzig
50%Form50%
25%Attack75%
0%Head to head100%
20%Goals80%
31.7%Overall68.3%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Rot-Weiß EssenW
RB LeipzigW

Head to head

All matches
0Rot-Weiß Essen
0Draws
2RB Leipzig
27/10/26 · Rot-Weiß Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig
17/8/24 · Rot-Weiß Essen 1–4 RB Leipzig

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig -2 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 3.5 goals (1.73).

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Our estimate gives Rot-Weiß Essen a 8% chance of winning, the draw 12% and RB Leipzig 80%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen. Referee: F. Exner.

Who will be missing?

Rot-Weiß Essen: no absences. RB Leipzig: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.28) and under 2.5 goals at 26% (odds 3.82).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.74).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–2 (9.6%), then 0–3 (9.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.