Danish Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 19:00, Roskilde take on Aarhus, with S. Funder in charge. We make Aarhus (68%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Roskilde win, a draw, Roskilde lose by 1. Loses: Roskilde lose by 2 or more.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Roskilde average 4.0 goals for and 0.3 against, compared with 6.0 for and 1.0 against for Aarhus.
- Form in the competition. Roskilde: 3W 0D 0L, goals 12–1; Aarhus: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–1.
What to expect
In our view Aarhus hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Roskilde 12–1, Aarhus 6–1.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Roskilde 0, Aarhus 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.58). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Roskilde: no absences. Aarhus will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 6.70 | 5.50 | 1.38 |
| Market average | 6.60 | 5.10 | 1.38 |
| Lowest odds | 6.50 | 4.70 | 1.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.13 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.26 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 46.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Roskilde 0–2 Aarhus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Roskilde 3W 0D 0L (12:1), Aarhus 1W 0D 0L (6:1).
- Absences: Roskilde 0, Aarhus 0.
Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Roskilde vs Aarhus: injuries and missing players
Roskilde
- No reported absences
Aarhus
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Roskilde vs Aarhus: last matches of both teams
Roskilde
Aarhus
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
RoskildeWWWAarhusWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Roskilde +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Roskilde vs Aarhus?
Our estimate gives Roskilde a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aarhus 68%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 19:00, venue to be confirmed. Referee: S. Funder.
Who will be missing?
Roskilde: no absences. Aarhus: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (10.3%), then 1–2 (9.8%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.