Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Poblense welcome AD Ceuta FC on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla (Sa Pobla). AD Ceuta FC (53%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: AD Ceuta FC win. Loses: a draw, AD Ceuta FC lose.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view AD Ceuta FC hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Poblense 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.74). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Poblense: no absences. AD Ceuta FC will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.75 | 3.95 | 1.82 |
| Market average | 4.13 | 3.74 | 1.74 |
| Lowest odds | 3.80 | 3.42 | 1.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.83 | 2.66 | 34.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.09 | 44.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Poblense 1–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Poblense 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: injuries and missing players
Poblense
- No reported absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: last matches of both teams
Poblense
AD Ceuta FC
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
AD Ceuta FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our estimate gives Poblense a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AD Ceuta FC 53%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla.
Who will be missing?
Poblense: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.74) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.16).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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