Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 29 October 2026 · 17:00 at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria), Numancia take on Oviedo, with Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain in charge. We make Oviedo (50%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Numancia vs Oviedo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Numancia have taken 2 wins to Oviedo's 3 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 10–10.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (13.8%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.65), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 47%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 43%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Numancia 2 wins, 3 draws, Oviedo 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
- Unavailable: Numancia 0, Oviedo 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 53%, top price 1.76). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Numancia: no absences. Oviedo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Numancia vs Oviedo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 4.05 | 3.38 | 1.87 |
| Lowest odds | 3.85 | 3.11 | 1.84 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.63 | 57.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.93 | 23.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.76 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 13:30. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Numancia 0–1 Oviedo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- H2H: 8 matches: Numancia 2W 3D 3L, goals 10–10.
- Absences: Numancia 0, Oviedo 0.
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Numancia vs Oviedo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Numancia vs Oviedo: injuries and missing players
Numancia
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Numancia vs Oviedo: last matches of both teams
Numancia
Oviedo
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Numancia vs Oviedo?
Numancia or draw (1X) (1.91); Under 2.5 goals (1.65).
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
Our estimate gives Numancia a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Oviedo 50%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria. Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Numancia: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.25) and under 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.65).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 47% (odds 2.05).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (13.8%), then 1–1 (12.4%) and 0–2 (10.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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