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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:30

Manresa vs Sant Andreu: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Manresa
2–2
Sant Andreu
1Manresa3.60
XDraw3.70
2Sant Andreu2.03

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 27 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadi Municipal del Congost (Manresa), Manresa take on Sant Andreu. We make Sant Andreu (47%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Manresa vs Sant Andreu: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Manresa +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.85
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: Manresa win, a draw. Loses: Manresa lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
Chance 55% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Sant Andreu (X2) at a probability of 73%, with odds of up to 1.30.
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Manresa vs Sant Andreu: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Manresa have taken 1 win to Sant Andreu's 3 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 9–10.

What to expect

In our view Sant Andreu hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 9; Manresa 1 win, 5 draws, Sant Andreu 3 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.1 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
  4. Unavailable: Manresa 0, Sant Andreu 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Manresa: no absences. Sant Andreu will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Manresa vs Sant Andreu: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.603.702.03
Market average3.473.481.98
Lowest odds3.183.111.93
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2573.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8251.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9448.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.9431.3%
BTTS – yes1.751.6954.7%
BTTS – no2.152.0545.3%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.2%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Manresa 1–1 Sant Andreu, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 9 matches: Manresa 1W 5D 3L, goals 9–10.
  • Absences: Manresa 0, Sant Andreu 0.

Who will win Manresa vs Sant Andreu?

Manresa27%
Draw27%
Sant Andreu47%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Manresa vs Sant Andreu: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals73.7% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.27
Likely
Draw or Sant Andreu (X2)73.4% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.7% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams to score: yes54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.85
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.00
Outsider
Sant Andreu to win46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.03
Outsider
Both teams to score: no45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.3% · fair odds 3.20 · best 3.00
Outsider
Manresa to win26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.60
Outsider
Draw26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.07 · Under 1.65
probability of over 44.3%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.8%
0 : 110.2%
1 : 29.4%
0 : 28.2%
1 : 07.4%
2 : 16.8%

Manresa vs Sant Andreu: injuries and missing players

Manresa

  • No reported absences

Sant Andreu

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Team comparison

ManresaSant Andreu
38%Head to head62%
53%Goals47%
45.5%Overall54.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Head to head

1Manresa
5Draws
3Sant Andreu
19/8/26 · Sant Andreu 3–1 Manresa
21/8/24 · Sant Andreu 3–2 Manresa
10/3/24 · Sant Andreu 0–0 Manresa
28/10/23 · Manresa 1–1 Sant Andreu
9/1/22 · Manresa 4–0 Sant Andreu
5/9/21 · Sant Andreu 1–1 Manresa

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.2%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Manresa vs Sant Andreu?

Manresa +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.75).

Who will win Manresa vs Sant Andreu?

Our estimate gives Manresa a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sant Andreu 47%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:30, venue Estadi Municipal del Congost, Manresa.

Who will be missing?

Manresa: no absences. Sant Andreu: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.00).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.75).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.8%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (9.4%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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