Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla, 29 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal El Val (Alcalá de Henares). The odds point to Sevilla (92%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Hortaleza have taken 0 wins to Sevilla's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 0–3.
What to expect
In our view Sevilla hold the advantage. We project a 1–4 scoreline, around 5 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–3 (10.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.04), the goals markets are also worth considering: Under 3.5 goals (odds 3.70), which we give a 28% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 28%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 85%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Hortaleza 0 wins, 0 draws, Sevilla 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 85%.
- Unavailable: Hortaleza 0, Sevilla 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 28%, top price 3.50). A projection of around 5 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Hortaleza: no absences. Sevilla will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 61.00 | 29.00 | 1.04 |
| Market average | 44.57 | 19.64 | 1.03 |
| Lowest odds | 25.00 | 11.00 | 1.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.03 | 1.02 | 93.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 85.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 7.00 | 6.38 | 14.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 72.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 3.50 | 3.36 | 27.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.29 | 1.28 | 72.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Hortaleza 0–3 Sevilla, roughly 5 goals in total.
- H2H: 1 match: Hortaleza 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–3.
- Absences: Hortaleza 0, Sevilla 0.
Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: injuries and missing players
Hortaleza
- No reported absences
Sevilla
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: last matches of both teams
Hortaleza
Sevilla
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
HortalezaWDSevillaHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
Sevilla to win (1.04); Under 3.5 goals (3.70).
Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
Our estimate gives Hortaleza a 2% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Sevilla 92%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Estadio Municipal El Val, Alcalá de Henares.
Who will be missing?
Hortaleza: no absences. Sevilla: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 85% (odds 1.11) and under 2.5 goals at 15% (odds 7.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 28% (odds 3.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–3 (10.2%), then 0–4 (10.2%) and 0–5 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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