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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: prediction, odds and betting tip – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Guijuelo
1–3
1Guijuelo8.50
XDraw4.90
2Sporting Gijón1.41

Top price available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Guijuelo welcome Sporting Gijón on 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos (Guijuelo). Sporting Gijón (67%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Guijuelo +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.96
Chance 50% · confidence medium

Wins: Guijuelo win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Guijuelo lose by 1. Loses: Guijuelo lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score: no
1.75
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Combo
Sporting Gijón with over 2.5 goals
2.43
41% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Sporting Gijón (X2) at a probability of 87%, with odds of up to 1.10.
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Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 2 previous meetings, Guijuelo have taken 0 wins to Sporting Gijón's 2 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 1–6.

What to expect

In our view Sporting Gijón hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (12.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Both teams to score: no (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 46%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 2; Guijuelo 0 wins, 0 draws, Sporting Gijón 2 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.5 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
  4. Unavailable: Guijuelo 0, Sporting Gijón 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Guijuelo: no absences. Sporting Gijón will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available8.504.901.41
Market average7.384.451.39
Lowest odds6.504.101.33
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2374.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7952.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.021.9647.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8732.1%
BTTS – yes2.052.0046.1%
BTTS – no1.751.7253.9%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Guijuelo 0–2 Sporting Gijón, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Guijuelo 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–6.
  • Absences: Guijuelo 0, Sporting Gijón 0.

Who will win Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

Guijuelo13%
Draw21%
Sporting Gijón67%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: more betting tips

Draw or Sporting Gijón (X2)87.4% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Sporting Gijón to win66.6% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.41
Likely
Both teams to score: no53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.02
Outsider
Both teams to score: yes46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.1% · fair odds 3.11 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.90
Outsider
Guijuelo to win12.6% · fair odds 7.97 · best 8.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

0 : 212.8%
0 : 112.8%
1 : 29.6%
1 : 19.6%
0 : 38.5%
1 : 36.4%

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: injuries and missing players

Guijuelo

  • No reported absences

Sporting Gijón

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: last matches of both teams

Guijuelo

Sporting Gijón

W 1/11/26 · AD Ceuta FC 0–2 Sporting Gijón
L 25/10/26 · Castellón 4–0 Sporting Gijón
W 17/10/26 · Sporting Gijón 2–1 Albacete
W 11/10/26 · Cádiz 0–1 Sporting Gijón
W 4/10/26 · Sporting Gijón 3–2 Celta de Vigo II

Team comparison

GuijueloSporting Gijón
0%Head to head100%
0%Goals100%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Head to head

All matches
0Guijuelo
0Draws
2Sporting Gijón
29/10/26 · Guijuelo 1–3 Sporting Gijón
1/11/23 · Guijuelo 0–3 Sporting Gijón

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

Guijuelo +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Both teams to score: no (1.75).

Who will win Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

Our estimate gives Guijuelo a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting Gijón 67%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo.

Who will be missing?

Guijuelo: no absences. Sporting Gijón: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.02).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 46% (odds 2.05).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–2 (12.8%), then 0–1 (12.8%) and 1–2 (9.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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